
Image: Flickr / deanmeyersnet
In our hollowed-out economy it is important to recognize that roughly 85 percent of the ready and able working population is working. The jobs may not be that great for many. Forty percent of those jobs are in the service sector and many of those are low-wage jobs. Wages are flat for all but Wall Street types. Temp jobs spring up like spam on gmail. But, on the whole, when you get out on the freeway every morning these are the folks you see. The majority.
The others are invisible. The invisible post-middle class residents of your town aren’t out on the freeway this or any other morning because there is no particular place to go—and no place to be. The era of the walk-in applicant is over but for all but the most entry-level of jobs. If you have a degree and plan to use it, they’ll call you, thank you. Or not. If you are a union electrician, you know the rules: you are on the bench, a prisoner of seniority, until your name is called. Years may go by. And do. They do for people I know.
Progressive voices have yet to come to terms with the meaning of the middle class meltdown. It’s melting around the edges not in the solid upper middle—the manufacturing, the bluer-collar, older, female and less-educated edges, these are melting away like glaciers in Greenland. This is not news and in fact many progressive voices are on autopilot with messages about the need for investment in jobs, jobs, jobs.
But how?
Certain measures are nonstarters from the get-go. You can’t mandate a return of low-margin manufacturing jobs to the U.S. The logic of that corrective is long gone. A Chinese garment worker earns 86 cents an hour. The 2008-2009 stimulus was woefully misguided when it came to job creation. Much of the money was used to shore up state-level jobs for another year or so until the Tea Partiers gutted them. Infrastructure? Just a joke, just a throwaway line from a throwaway speech.
It’s time to get specific about what we want—and what we don’t want. We don’t want to spend tax dollars to “save” jobs. That’s just corporate welfare in the face of corporate blackmail.
Tax Policy as Carrot & Stick
We need a new tax policy laser-focused on rewarding the creation of new jobs at home. And we need to tax the proceeds of offshored jobs at a rate that hurts more than a little. If you make it there pay it here. A job-driven tax policy must be based on growing head counts. And it must be based on data. If a company had 100 workers in, say, 2010 and let 12 go in 2011, it shouldn’t get a credit for just hiring them back. That would reward temporary layoffs. But at some date-certain, announced retroactively to avoid strategic layoffs, companies would register full-time-equivalent headcounts and then be rewarded through payroll tax holidays or discounts for increasing the numbers of their workforce. At the same time, corporate tax loopholes need to be plugged so that companies would be forced to hire in order recapture some percentage of federal largesse. Hear us, energy industry?
This would allow payroll tax discounts to continue for at least a few years prior to sunsetting. And then new incentives should be introduced to reward the retention of new workers.
Call me crazy but I believe that one of the fundamental products of an economy is jobs. They get this in Europe. They get it in Asia. But we have a Wall Street-driven ethos that says fire their asses. This is the same group for whom bonuses were up in 2009 17 percent over 2008. Meanwhile, 20 percent of American children live below the poverty line. And the top 10 percent of all American workers earn 50 percent of all American wages. The only effective countermeasure to the cultural bias against creating jobs is a dollars and sense approach, because that’s the only language Wall Street understands.
Unemployment compensation funds, as odorous as they are to business, provide only the briefest of respite against the long goodbye of post-middle class unemployment. Given the 1.4 million Americans filed for personal bankruptcy in 2009, 32 percent increase over 2008, and that 40 million people are on food stamps, and the number is projected to hit 43 million this year, our tax structures need to reflect that.
Sixty-six percent of the income growth between 2001 and 2007 went to the top 1 percent of earners. People who understand history, economics and politics, know that trickle-down job creation theories are no different than the theory, say, of intelligent design. It’s magical thinking for magical thinkers. Hiring is driven by demand. Period. And preposterous theories like “regulatory uncertainty” are just canards cooked up by Chamber of Commerce spin doctors.
What we need to do is lower the bar so that in an era of endemic weak demand companies are rewarded for risking investment in their own workforces. Jobs are people, too. Corporate America needs to learn that. The theory of retrenching one’s way to profits may lead to decent rewards for companies that replace workers with new business models, offshoring and technology. But it hurts the nation. You can’t sustain a population—or an economy—without population growth. A stagnant Italy or Spain proves that. And you can’t sustain population growth without growing the number of available jobs, and I mean middle class jobs. No parent ever aspires to raise their child to a life of servitude or drudgery. And yet… Look around.
Even the employer match on Social Security should be eligible for a discount as we consider the alternative. We just don't get the implications of a lost generation here. There were a number of them in the 20th Century in various places around the world. But here? Such an insult to our exceptionalism, an entitlement that paradoxically continues to increase in the face of overwhelming adverse evidence. At this moment we are exceptionally paralyzed, and that’s about it.
The real issue is akin to what Nikki Stern brought up in an Open Salon cover post last week—a crisis of character. It is most apparent in politics. But in boardrooms and executive suites, around the country, thedeal is, “Unemployment? Not my problem.”
And it isn’t. Until it is. When the whole system begins to rot from the inside like it did in the 1930s it is a boardroom problem. Even petty despots like Henry Ford understood this. Unless his workers—his many, many, workers—could afford to buy the cars he had to sell, he had a problem on his hands. Today, the bottom 50 percent of workers owns less than 1 percent of the nation’s weath.
So many of us in the shadows of the MSNBCs and the Mother Jones have yet to come to terms with our own lack of, well, directed anger. The middle class is possessed of no malaise. Uh huh. They’re pissed. And they’re toast. But, as I said, not all of them, just some. The people left behind are moving in with Mom and Dad, pawning gold, failing in marriage, drinking too much and dropping off the grid to some shady cash economy that the middle class can’t even fathom much less negotiate. A tale of two, not cities, but realities. Like Paris versus its suburbs. That’s where we are heading. Gated communities. Not little pink houses. That’s gone. Not foothold in the middle class. No, now the future looks like gated, locked, communities, whether they are fortified by high walls and sentries or just out-of reach home prices, zoning and an attendant exclusionary culture to keep out the riff raff.
Not my problem? Look around. Check in with those ne’er do well cousins, or maybe even your kids, maybe returning vets, trying to claw their way in. There is only one way in. A good job. Without that, the middle class is just a mirage. But not for everyone. Only for some. Only for 45 million or so ready and willing, would-be workers that a broken system excludes.
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Note: Statistics about the middle class cited in this article are from the article, “22 Statistics That Prove the Middle Class Is Being Systematically Wiped Out of Existence in America,” by Michael Snyder, published at businessinsider.com on July 15, 2010.


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Comments
We do have to care about each other. The people on top need to care. Thanks for suggesting some good ideas on how to change things.
Maybe us Boomers are a little too old to get really angry, but those young people out there? Oh yeah, they're going to get good and pissed. Young, angry and unemployed. Bad, bad combination.
1- Of shoring millions of jobs increases unemployment here
2- Automation is just beginning to do the same
3- Artificial job creation, as you say, is not a solution, long term.
Do you not see what is in front of your eyes?
WE, AS A PEOPLE, CAN NO LONGER DEPEND UPON EMPLOYMENT AS OUR PRIMARY SOURCE OF INCOME.
Is that not clear?
From a humane point of view this present situation is a disaster; a long term one. There is no instant cure for this.
From a business point of view also, this is a disaster; people with no income cannot be purchasers of goods and services.
We need a whole new ethic. One that separates “production” from “income” for the average person. Our present system, which has the two welded together, is toast. Everything you said in this clear-eyed blog shows that to be true.
We all know that an economic system that has allowed the concentration of wealth that ours has allowed, indeed encouraged, cannot be sustained. No amount of “tweaking” it will allow it to continue to operate. The old days are done. Over with. Get used to it. There is no way - none - that we can turn back the hands on the clock. Our form of capitalism is dying and cannot be revived here again.
We need a new form of capitalism. One that redistributes wealth very quickly - no “trickle-down” bullshit. Especially since ’trickle-down’ never did work to any appreciable degree. Money “trickles up” not “down”. Always has - always will.
So we need a system that shovels wealth off the roof and into the waiting hands of the consumers who will spend it to meet their living expenses and their desires, thus keeping their suppliers of goods and services affluent.
Direct line inheritance has to go. Wealth has to be returned to the society from which it is derived upon the death of those who amass it.
It is produced by and from the society that allowed some to gather large portions of it. Once those persons are dead, it needs to come back to the society - NOT stay locked up in the hands of heirs who have done nothing to earn it.
Imagine how prosperous our society would be when the 50% of its wealth, now hoarded by heirs who didn’t earn it, is back in circulation.
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Lots of great comments here, and Sky's call for a new ethic, beyond full employment in the private sector almost always conjures a system more like Canada's--look at their support for indie artists, filmakers and musicians--or France, with it's huge investment in health care, boutique agriculture and education...but, oh yeah, we hate that here.
Blue, yes, many American companies have long decamped for foreign shores in terms of markets and only hang their shingles here for tax, security and prestige reasons. But we are still 300 million plus with lots of money in our pockets if you look to the majority I spoke of above.
Remember about 20 years ago when call centers in small cities in the Upper Midwest were considered "economic development"--and companies extolled the virtues of the employees of those centers for their work ethic and clearly understood Midwestern accents? And then those jobs went to Asia where's it's far cheaper. Of course it's far more aggravating and arguably less efficient--but what the hell.
I'm just kind of fed up with it all and hope that economically and financially I can tread water until I die. Quite a goal for my senior years isn't it.
It's also true that demand drives job growth, not supply. This trickle down, supply side concept, aptly coined by the First George Bush when he ran against Reagan for the GOP nomination, is nothing more than Voodoo Economics. It's that magical thinking you were referring to in your piece.
I disagree though, that we have lost our window on infrastructure. Maybe energy reinvestment for power and fuel, possibly. But roads, bridges, rails, water lines, sewer lines, subways, elevated rails, and other aspects of infrastructure designed to connect us to vital services and each other still require a lot of work. We actually do need to think about a complete revamping of the nation's water and sewage systems. Our bridges (other than brand new ones) are in desperate need of either replacement or refurbishment. Our highways are a mess and the methods used to contract for them is a complete travesty of mismanagement and purposeful lowballing in order to charge for cost overruns, extensions to complete and budgetary shortfalls we didn't foresee.
I'd mention another aspect of industry that could use a rewrite, but I know it won't gain traction amongst those who'd make the decision. The military industrial complex.
Personally, I have no issue with someone making a profit for a product. The way military equipment -- at all levels and for all that is purchased -- is procured, produced and maintained is nothing short of someone making a ton of money on selling the lowest quality, poorest design integrity and most expensive 'cheapest' bid items ever known to mankind. And this isn't anything more than a percption issue of what's okay to do to make a profit.
With energy production, I would propose that we nationalize all our petroleum, natural gas and coal industries. They should be treated more like a Public Utility or Resource than a simple for profit enterprise. Fuel is no longer a luxury. Power is no longer an economic tool, to be bought and sold like hammers, nails and wood. Our society and culture, inclusive of our economic model needs to reflect that.
Thanks again for hitting a solid run with this article and also for the debate, thoughtfulness and reflection on these issues it is sure to generate for those who take the time to read it.
-r-
Europe has all sorts of policies to prevent loss of jobs, yet their unemployment rates don't seem materially better than that in the US. Here is a list by country --- http://www.tradingeconomics.com/unemployment-rates-list-by-country.
Personally, I see our unfavorable balance of trade as a fundamental issue, although it could be considered a symptom just as easily. Nevertheless, it is unsustainable.
People want to lend us money. At low rates. Foreigners.
A big chunk of the balance of trade imbalance can be traced to imported oil. A big chunk of the rest is heavily impacted by currency manipulation by China and other Asian countries. In 2008, Korea seriously devalued, and shortly thereafter, Hyundai started kicking ass in the US -- maybe largely at the expense of the Japanese, but a big part of their value proposition is tied to price which is directly impacted by devaluation of their currency.
Call me old fashioned. It was a very severe recession. To get out, we need a lot of deficit spending. To rebuild demand that was destroyed in 2008 and 2009.
We can still borrow whatever we want or need in US dollars. Failure to take this option seems insane to anyone that lives in a country that cannot borrow (like Greece).
http://www.counterpunch.org/2011/08/25/the-dumbest-rally-of-all-time/
The controlling government elements have been bought by the wealthy sector to ensure that their hold on finance remains secure no matter the destruction of the general economy. There is no way but extra-political dynamics to unseat them and that, it seems indicates violence. When the angry steam builds up there will be an explosion and there is no way to determine what that will end up in.
Hundreds of years of proof that government intervention is generally the genesis of the problems they seek to remedy do not dissuade them from their anointed philosophy. The failure of the socialist utopia, ‘worker’s paradise’, in the USSR does not deter them. The death on arrival of Cuba’s collectivist economy does not imply to them that collectivism won’t work 90 miles away in America. Not even the pending insolvencies of Medicare and Social Security sway them from their course.
They claim that all such problems could have been, and can be, solved by “small tweaks”. They see no reason why we cannot tax, regulate, and spend ourselves into Nirvana.
Thus, it can be no surprise that the latest suggestion to be blessed with an EP is one that proposes that government manipulate the economy to supply jobs. The motivations are obvious.
Included among the many reasons justifying such actions are children living in poverty, perceived capitalist excesses (such as bonuses), and “ . . . the top 10 percent of all American workers earn 50 percent of all American wages.” Yes, we must all either envy that “ . . . top 10% . . .” or we must all be equally miserable, it is difficult to know which one of these, if not both, underpins such complaints.
Steve, you are crazy.
It’s the private sector that’s going to provide jobs. This has always been the case. The best news in the unemployment reports these days is the loss of public sector jobs and the gains in private sector jobs.
You are correct when you claim that “Hiring is driven by demand.” What you ignore is your own “Period.”
Lowering the bar (whatever that means) so that companies are rewarded by the government for risking investment in their own workforces in an era of endemic weak demand is the kind of thinking that pervades Treasury and the Fed. For example, one doesn’t have to travel far back in time to encounter the Geithner and Bernanke belief that if government makes tons of money available for practically no cost, then companies will simply rush to borrow it in order to manufacture goods and expand their capacity. This is utter bullshit, and has been so proven in our very recent past.
Companies, and companies alone, decide when to expand and to contract based upon their perception of demand and their knowledge of what they can supply. No “laser light focus” of new tax policy designed to punish the existence of jobs overseas or the absence of them in America, or reward their presence here and their absence there, is going to work.
You're entitled to your socialist fantasy, Steve. However, I am going to advocate for smaller, less intrusive, government as the mechanism by which the path to our economic recovery will be cleared.
If you want to tax the proceeds of foreign jobs, then you had better think about priming the pump first, probably by lowering taxes in general. If Americans aren’t consuming, then there aren’t going to be imports to tax. Further, if you want to tax the proceeds of foreign jobs, then you had better go lobby to stop the ‘NAFTA’ type thinking that now pervades much of what passes for logic inside the Beltway.
No doubt you are absolutely correct that demand is what inspires increased production and job creation. But with the general population without the income to create that demand how do you propose that impetus for job creation should come about?
"Infrastructure---what's needed for functioning of a society--- investment for the future "
doesn't mean more prisons.
With state and federal governments cutting essential services to the bone and beyond, even to cutting schools to a four day week, who is to pay for that infrastructure? Taxes on those that can pay is a no no.
Thanks for a cogent response. I will reply because I believe it advances the discussion inspired by Steve’s blog.
Your question seems to imply a lack of faith in the aspirations, ingenuity, and work capacity of man. Steve’s blog implies an absolute faith in government.
The degree of American consumerism to which you and I are accustomed is a recent, 125-year old, phenomenon and is probably unsustainable. It is likely that you and I are living at the end of this age.
In this context, let me answer your question by examples:
In an environment in which the standard of living declines, more Americans might choose to live “off the grid”. This might generate a large demand for solar electric panels and wind-driven electric turbines. Thus, the futures of two industries are secured.
Even if solar panels and turbines are largely assembled by robots, the future of another industry is secured; and if a rare metal, whether or not mined in America, is needed to manufacture solar panels, then the future of a fourth industry is secured. Also, if the mining operations of this rare metal require specialized extraction, processing, and refining equipment, other industries are secured. And so on. . . .
Your question about whether potential “off-grid” consumers could fund purchases of this equipment likely has an answer in whether its ROI is attractive enough for financing, whether the demand is large enough to bring prices within range of affordability, and whether government interferes in such commerce.
Consequently, the question I return to you, Jan, is whether government should be taxing and regulating the hell out of the industries and consumers in these examples, whether it should leave them alone, or whether it should subsidize them.
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Despite the foregoing, I am uncertain that we are headed to a state as driven by consumers as we have been. I am unsure that we will ever see 5% unemployment again. I am uncertain that the standard of living to which we have so recently become accustomed in America can be maintained.
I am convinced that expanding government is not the answer to a restoration of our economy. In fact, the federal debt now accumulated will be a drag on America’s economy long after you and I are gone. The answers to restoring our economy lie in reducing government, balancing our budget, and paying down our debt, all rather sooner than later, in my view.
A more sustainable economy would do us all good, in my humble opinion. This forms in part my motivation to answer you as I did by the examples above.
I am disgusted by this materialistic argument about the ‘loss’ of the middle class, the envy of the rich, and government’s responsibility to make us economically equal by making us all equally miserable.
You may not realize this, but jobs are being created in the private sector as we write. Jobs are being lost in the public sector as we write. This is good news.
Jobs in the private sector aren’t being created fast enough, true. However, unlike Steve’s outlook, I am convinced that it is not government responsibility to create jobs, especially in the public sector, to force our economic recovery.
Our economic recovery will arrive in spite of government, and not because of government. Our economic recovery will arrive in the private sector and not the public sector.
The problem is tax cuts will do little for the remaining middle class, as they're already leveraged to the hilt and beyond. Tax cuts to "keep jobs here" are probably pointless, as the problem is trade policy. It would have to be a negative tax -- funding jobs beyond what little savings you get from tax cuts as opposed to cheap overseas labor.
There is no incentive for the "private sector" to "create jobs," so there will not be enough jobs created. Created for whom, anyway? Surely not the over-leveraged, underemployed and rapidly disappearing consumer base.
I'll skip, for now, my usual ridicule of Chris' usual comments.
I can't avoid the laughter, though.
Sic 'em, Captain Platitude!
I appreciate your attempt but it does not solve the problem. The distaste for bad government seems to be totally unbalanced by a neglect for distaste for bad business. I have no doubt that the neglect for good in both business and government is a major problem. But government, theoretically at least, is the overseeing of the economy for the benefit of the nation as a whole.
At the present time many powerful businesses are doing rather well by investing in financial operations that have nothing to do with production for the market. They are making money out of money, not paying wages that will encourage the growth of demand. Technological production through information technology and the use of automated machinery has reduced labor costs tremendously for the producers but machinery does not buy the efforts of production. At the moment there are approximately five applicants for each job opening and the point of industry for a nation is not to increase the monetary wealth of the producers but to see to it that the citizens can provide for themselves. The present economy is inexorably failing to do that since the relentless motivations to decrease labor costs may seem to benefit the manufacturers but it inevitably destroys the market's capability to provide demand. This is so openly obvious I wonder why it seems not to be understood. Current business practices have been so successful in defeating labor in its attempt to acquire a sustainable income that it is destroying the whole system. Innovation, obviously from the observed consequences of the destruction of labor's ability to strive for a decent income, is no answer.
Pardon me for saying, how simple, and even profound, not meaning to embarrass you. In the first instance, we need to acknowledge reality, and then go from there. A pendulum has swung into a new La-La Land, a lookingglass through we perceive ourselves to be powerless. That is an illusion, although there are many who would argue this point.
Paul, I appreciate your comment and understand what you mean. Certainly there is no direct help in my proposal for the remaining middle class. Other measures, an Elizabeth Warren approach to the too-big-to-acknowledge-reality banks and their impossible strategy of losing every scrap of paper submitted for mortgage relief. Civil penalties and reformed practices; these, too, wouldn't save the middle class but they would serve the most basic interests of justice in the interim.
If you want to see America's future, look at Mexico. That goes double for the greedy bastards who think money can protect them from the evil of a two-tiered society of those who have too much and those who have nothing. One day soon they will discover they have become targets, not role models. And when that day comes they will learn that they -- and their children -- will pay a dear price for destroying this once civilized society.
Basically, I'd stick with a capitalist system but one that is better regulated in terms of environmental protections and whatever is necessary to better control the high-wire/public safety net that the financial sector enjoys. And a much more highly progressive tax system.
We're currently in a state where the private sector isn't creating many new jobs. The positive stats that one of your commenters sites is a gross figure. It doesn't take account of the number of long term unemployed folks who literally drop off the charts. I don't see this as indicative of some permanent shift; rather, an unproductive stasis from which the economy will eventually emerge. But until it does, by all means an ambitious infrastructure program.
Trust me, what you desire cannot be corrected by government. . . .
Let me leave you with two thoughts, although I doubt you will find them much comfort, since you apparently insist on government regulating the “bad” practices of business.
1. Pretend that workers in China reach a point where they insist on driving BMW’s, earning $65 per hour wages and benefits, and consuming most of the world’s resources. At that point, their labor market becomes far less attractive to American businesses than America’s (currently) high priced labor force.
2. Pretend that illegal immigrants from Mexico cannot fare better in America than they can in their home country. This might be because unemployment remains high here, or because our excess labor force displaces them in jobs, or because wages drop here while prices rise here. At that point, their labor market in Mexico becomes attractive to them and fewer come here, while some of those here illegally return.
Pretend no more. The economic universe is on its way to both destinations.
You do not seem to comprehend we live in a limited world. There are neither the resources nor the ecologies for the rest of the world to attain the standards of the middle class in the USA in the post WWII world. And it will be decades for wages throughout the world to even approach an American sustainable income. Those good times are gone under the current capitalist system. The curse is the improper use of wealth and no "natural forces" will redistribute that properly. When 10% of the population owns more than 50% of the wealth the only thing that might redistribute the wealth properly is violence and violence is no guarantee of any decent life for anybody as its outcome is totally unpredictable. The world is turning irretrievable vicious (not to advocate that it has not been terribly vicious anyway) but the huge current overpopulation and the monstrous gaps between the haves and the have nots indicates decades if not centuries of horrible miseries and nobody is doing anything decent to stop or even modify it.
After completely retraining to be an energy auditor, while I teach driving, together we earn a third of our previous income, supporting four children and digging into our retirement.
The Republicans have a plan that will belie your comment here. The suggest we lower our minimum wage to 82 cents an hour.
Bingo! The jobs come back.
Frank, that must be it!
Giving employers a break on matching funds for employee contributions to SSI, Unemployment and Medicare penalizes the employee because their accounts would be light by that much, and because the rest of us have to pick up the tab....this shifts the burden from the employers to the working class: bad idea.
My studies of tax rates and employment indicate that tax hikes are marginally more effective at producing job growth, although my summary conclusion has been that tax policy is more of an effect than a cause of employment growth or shrinkage.
That said, a major increase in the maximum effective tax rate is not just mandatory, it is timely. There's a historical pattern of tax cuts and tax hikes and, on the basis of the historical record, we're due for a tax increase.
People who talk about class warfare have probably never been there. I have, literally, and it (a) sucks and (b) is ineffective. What does work, as the Tea Party has amply demonstrated is to vote tax cutters out of office and vote tax raisers in.
WE NEED TO TARGET OUR ENEMIES, MOVE "LIBERAL" VOTERS INTO THEIR DISTRICTS AND VOTE OUR ENEMIES OUT OF OFFICE. I MEAN THAT LITERALLY. AT THE SAME TIME, WE HAVE TO IDENTIFY OUR WEAKER ALLIES AND MOVE VOTERS INTO THEIR DISTRICTS TO HELP THEM WIN RE-ELECTION. THIS IS A SERIOUS PROPOSAL. I LIVE IN A SAFE DISTRICT. I WOULD MOVE TEMPORARILY TO ANY DISTRICT WHERE MY VOTE WAS NEEDED. ALL IT TAKES IS MONEY AND THAT'S MONEY BETTER SPENT THAT MONEY SPENT ON ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS. IF YOU LIVE IN A DISTRICT WHERE YOU NEED VOTES TO SHIFT THE BALANCE OF POWER, FIND PEOPLE WHO WOULD BE WILLING TO “MOVE IN” WITH YOU, GET THEM REGISTERED AND MAKE SURE THEY GET AN ABSENTEE BALLOT. IT DOESN’T MATTER WHERE YOU VOTE, AS LONG AS YOU ONLY VOTE ONCE.
These are all short term solutions. The long term solution is a complete reorganization of this industrial civilization, involving decentralization, diversification, and re-distribution of both the means of production and the patterns of consumption.
If it isn't made in America, don't buy it. If you have to buy foreign goods, buy foreign goods made by foreign corporations rather than foreign goods made by American corporations overseas. Punish them for their perfidy.
Stop paying your credit card bills. Stop paying your mortgage stipends. Stop paying for everything you don't absolutely need. Move from the credit economy to the cash economy. Bankrupt the banks. They will get the message.
Oh, hell. Stop paying your taxes. Increase your withholdings to the max and then refuse to pay. If we all do it, the government will get the message. I believe I just committed a felony. Sue me. If we all do it, what can they do about it?
Okay, it’s crazy to refuse to pay taxes at the same time you are asking for major increases in the tax rate. Crazy like a fox. The rich use loopholes, but there aren’t as many of them as there are of the poor….the rest of us. If we all resist this unfair tax system, a redress of our grievance becomes eventually inevitable. Some of us will go to jail. Three meals a day. A bed at night. Free medical care. Doesn’t sound that bad any more.
I could go on and on....as you well know...but if you want to read the rest go to my post and make fun of me there.
http://open.salon.com/blog/alan_milner/2011/08/26/re_sterve_klingamans_great_post
While other countries protected their home markets from imports, we did nothing. Antitrust measures here in the U.S. forced AT&T to sell off the rights to transistors and other technologies. For $25,000 Sony bought the rights to technology that AT&T (through Bell Labs) spent hundreds of millions of dollars developing. The Japs forced other U.S. companies to share their technologies in order to be able to sell in Japanese markets. While U.S. companies were taken to the cleaners, the U.S. government did nothing.
Some of the technologies and industries that we lost were actually helped into existence by the U.S. government. Today's conservatives extoll the virtues of private business. For example, in a comment on this post UncleChri writes "It’s the private sector that’s going to provide jobs. This has always been the case." That may be correct in a trivial sense, but it utterly ignores the critical role that government has played.
After the war the GI Bill made high education possible for millions of veterans, who then went to work in companies all over America. The government made low interest mortgage loans available to veterans, thus stimulating the construction industry. The government built the interstate highway system, again stimulating construction. The government provided billions of dollars for research and development, in military, aerospace, and many other areas. A recent book by economist Clyde Prestowitz notes that during the 50s and into the 60s over half of IBM's research and development was paid for by the government. Sales of IBM equipment then assisted the rise of Intel and Microsoft and many other companies.
But today we're stuck with people such as UncleChri, who wants a "smaller, less-intrusive government," not understanding the role that government has played in stimulating the creation and growth of the private businesses whose virtues he extolls.
And now today we are in a situation in which not just companies, but entire industries have disappeared and are disappearing. A recent article in Forbes Magagine, "Why Amazon Cant Make A Kindle in the U.S.A.," shows just how far we have fallen:
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"The U.S. has lost or is on the verge of losing its ability to develop and manufacture a slew of high-tech products. Amazon’s Kindle 2 couldn’t be made in the U.S., even if Amazon wanted to:
• The flex circuit connectors are made in China because the US supplier base migrated to Asia.
• The electrophoretic display is made in Taiwan because the expertise developed from producting flat-panel LCDs migrated to Asia with semiconductor manufacturing.
• The highly polished injection-molded case is made in China because the U.S. supplier base eroded as the manufacture of toys, consumer electronics and computers migrated to China.
• The wireless card is made in South Korea because that country became a center for making mobile phone components and handsets.
• The controller board is made in China because U.S. companies long ago transferred manufacture of printed circuit boards to Asia.
• The Lithium polymer battery is made in China because battery development and manufacturing migrated to China along with the development and manufacture of consumer electronics and notebook computers."
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The long term solution, if there even is one at this point, is not "smaller government" nor is it government make-work jobs. It is government, working in concert with the private sector, to come up with a comprehensive manufacturing strategy that will support our own industries and economy, thus leading to the creating of the jobs that everyone wants. The "tea party" would probably denounce this as "socialism." But if we don't do this, then I think there really is no hope.
Steve,
There's one part of your proposal that troubles me. We all know that companies hit with this are going to look for a loophole. Here's the one I see: If an American company spins off a division as an independent, now foreign company, that new company can not by definition be classified as an American company exporting jobs so what we've accomplished is not only to export labor but to export its management and some of its profits. I'd want a way to address this before I'd support this as a solution, even though I absolutely think you're on the right track.
What I really don't understand about what's currently happening is that it looks to me like the American business community is essentially committing slow suicide. Nothing about this makes sense. Their profits are dependent on people with disposable incomes, primarily Americans, and they're systematically dismantling their customer base. Some will say: "Foreign consumers will take up the slack." No, they won't, because their jobs are partially dependent on exports to us. Why exactly does anyone think the Chinese are so willing to lend us money? To keep the doors of their own factories open, of course. Yes, they have consumers who are growing wealthier, but don't discount the extent to which their incomes are dependent on exports to us.
As Mishima says, government has its uses. Its primary use isn't in hiring people per se, it's in creating and maintaining a good physical environment for businesses to operate in and to structure incentives to maximize our long-term financial health. That means raising taxes on the wealthiest to narrow our deficits, penalizing companies financially for exporting jobs so it becomes cheaper to keep them here, supporting industries that are likely to provide a lot of higher paying jobs (and not industries that have influence because of the money they now have and the jobs they used to create) and industries that involve making us safer and less dependent on foreign and fossil fuel energy.
I am a believer in capitalism but highly regulated capitalism. The idea that laissez-faire capitalism is the most efficient system possible is a myth (a subject I've blogged about).
Lezlie
Americans simply cannot live on those kinds of wages.
Therefore we will never get those jobs back.
The problem we ought be working on is not how do we get the jobs back—or how do we create other decent paying jobs…
…but rather, How do we function if WE CANNOT GET THE JOBS BACK AND CANNOT CREATE OTHER ONES?
How do we insure that everyone have sufficient for their needs (and some of their wants)—without the need for people to hold jobs to earn the money to get it?
Yup...way outside the box. But it is the reality.
But part-time work, even at lousy wages -- $7-10/hr -- is now the norm and a FT job, even a lousy one, increasingly elusive. Walmart workers need food stamps (!) to live, even on FT wages there, while their company has spent millions fighting an OSHA fine of $7,000 -- after a worker was trampled to death by crazed shoppers. Nice values. I wouldn't buy from them if it was my last dime in this world.
There are too many problems at once:
1) skills -- too few Americans, of any age, with the requisite technical skills to even fill decently-paid available jobs; 2) endless insistence by Wall Street on profits, so corporations sit on bags of cash and record profits but refuse to hire, which they are fully funded to do, but don't feel like it -- and there is no incentive, anywhere, to push them into so doing; 3) a nation mesmerized by the impossible fantasy that if they just keep showing up, docile and polite, they'll be fine.
I can't imagine the day any Americans get angry enough with this BS to protest as they have in Greece or elsewhere. They're too scared or too invested in the hopeless hope they, too, will get rich(er) if they just keep playing nice with the plutocracy now running the place.
Force them to hire people to do what? Nothing?
I hired a driver and part-time bookkeeper a few months ago. So
you would force me to hire another driver to do what? To drive what? To haul what? Just like the businesses sitting on cash neither one of us need work done so we are not hiring.
Next, how do you think you are going to make some company hire somebody? Tell me how you write that law? It's a great, unrealistic, talking point. It goes right with the question nobody here will answer like tell me the percentage equals the "fair
share" that the top 3% is.
america is what it is because of the constitution, and the culture it has fostered. if you asked americans what they think about going to war in iraq, they might have said 'no!' but no one asked them. if asked, 'should we remove tariff barriers that make manufacturing in america possible?' they might say 'no!' but no one asked them.
to whom are you addressing your writing? do you think congress reads you, nods their collective head, and thinks 'i will be guided by steve in future?'
or will they be guided by the person who drops half a mil in their re-election fund.
the voters in america stand in relation to their representatives as the subjects of a monarchy to their local gentry: supplicants to an upper class, begging for 'more, please.' you should have figured out by now, that you and the other 230 million voters have about as much input to the management of the nation as cattle do, to the management of a ranch.
there is a joke, perhaps known to many, about the drunk who searched for his fallen car keys under the street light, even though he knew they fell out of his pocket in the adjoining dark alley. "because the light was better."
americans never talk about the fundamental cause of their troubles, because they suspect it is beyond their ability to change. quite right, leave it to your betters.
Labor cost is only one of many costs, and for a company to focus only that one cost may be both short-sighted and narrow-minded. There is a business cost to losing an entire industry overseas, including higher shipping costs, and longer lead time requiring higher inventories here. More importantly, if a war or natural disaster interrupts the flow of parts from overseas, entire production lines can be shut down, and critical materials of all kinds can become unavailable. How much does it cost when you have to shut down an entire factory because the critical widget you outsourced is under fifteen feet of flood water in Indonesia?
In the July 2011 article "How America Could Collapse," Matt Stoller describes the risk to the supply chain:
"What has happened as a result [of overseas outsourcing] is that much of the production for critical products and services that make our economy run is constructed by a patchwork global network of suppliers all over the world in unstable regions, over which we have very little control. An accident or political problem in any number of countries may deny us not just iPhones but food, medicine or critical machinery. . . .
"[Barry] Lynn has continued to study industrial supply shocks and says, “What I have found most interesting recently is the apparent role supply chain shocks played in triggering a synchronized slowdown of industrial economies in April—production down (in USA, China, Europe, Southeast Asia), jobs down, demand down, GDP numbers down—due almost entirely to the loss of a single factory that makes microcontroller chips for cars.”
"Today, the problem manifests as shortages of videotape or auto parts, but the global supply chain is so tangled and fragile that next time it could be electronics, weaponry, or even food or medicine. As Lynn noted in an interview with Dylan Ratigan, China controls 100 percent of the national supply of ascorbic acid, which is a basic food preservative. Leading oncologists are already warning that we are experiencing severe shortages of generic yet pivotal cancer drugs, because there’s no incentive for corporations to make them."
With all respect to the blog author and those who have commented on this post, I can only hope that we can get beyond this whole thing of labor costs and who pays what taxes and the size of government. While these are important issues in themselves, the loss of the manufacturing base will not be fixed by taxes, lower labor costs, or smaller government. We need to address the larger issue of trade policies, tariffs, foreign manipulation of currency values, and the development of a national manufacturing strategy.
People like Mr. Apiser who decry government control are merely shills for the corporations who want free access to all real wealth with no concern for the consequences. It seems unlikely these Frankenstein monsters can be stopped or even deterred and their mindless end is to destroy the world.
People like Jan Sand, who have to resort to that “Mr. Apiser” childishness…and who apparently are unable to comprehend English…contribute mightily to the problem.
Anyone who thinks I am against government controls really ought to take a course in understanding the language. If anything, I am one of the most vocal people arguing for more and more governmental control of this idiotic unfettered capitalism which is killing our country. I want to see capitalism brought under some kind of control so that it cannot continue to elect profit for the corporation at the expense of labor.
What the fuck are you thinking, Sand? How could you possibly think I am someone “decrying” governmental controls? Or are you thinking at all?
And really…don’t you think that name distortion bullshit should be left in the playground where the other little kids who use that childish tactic normally stop to play?
And I am also delighted to also have discovered we do not differ on government regulation of the outrageous behavior of the financial and corporate sectors of the US economy. For that I deserve your castigation for my misunderstanding.
I leaped to those misinterpretations from your constant proposal that Obama is acting to the best of his ability to counteract the insanities of the current deterioration of policies concerning economics, military actions, civil liberties, and a few other areas. My impression is that he is intelligent enough to know better and has now and has previously other better options but chose to act the way he does from motives that concern me deeply and I find unjustifiable.
If I am wrong here I will be delighted to hear you say so.
To make my position on the capitalism issue clear:
I tend to feel that capitalism (particularly the free enterprise element) is the best economic engine for sustained growth. But capitalism definitely has to be contained; when allowed to go unfettered, it becomes something abusive and detrimental to a functioning society. Unfettered capitalism almost always ends up treating the labor element the way medieval European monarchies treated serfs. Add to that the impact of our geometrically progressing technological growth—and we are ending up with humans being treated as slaves.
We cannot tolerate that! No society can!
The government (which is really just an extension of us) HAS TO BE the instrument of control. The corporations are NEVER going to exercise control—the essence of their being is profit; the focus of their efforts will always be to reduce costs in order to maximize profits.
I’ve had lots of people disagree with me on this, but I still consider the labor element to be the easiest to abuse—the easiest for corporations to manipulate in the interests of increasing profits.
As for Obama…I honestly see no contradiction in any of that with my support for him…or to be even more exact, my calls to temper castigation of Obama in favor of being more understanding of the difficulties he faces because of the strong conservatives element obstructing all progressive initiatives in America…not just Obama’s.
Yeah, I am giving him more of the benefit of the doubt than some think justified, but that is the way I work. I always want to think the best of people. I think he is an intelligent, reasonable, pragmatic individual doing many things I wish were otherwise—but I am willing to give him the benefit of the doubt for why things have to be done that way right now.
I honestly cannot think of anyone I think could be getting appreciably more out of this toxic political environment polluting America right now than Obama is.
But on the question of government exerting controls over unbridled capitalism, Jan….we are of one mind. Be assured of that.
I appreciate your accepting my apology. My misspelling and misunderstandings were rather gross and surely unacceptable from your point of view. I do not normally indulge in emotional antics as they are unproductive. You must be aware of my good relationship with Markinjapan and I concur with pretty much all of his points of view but I have no comprehension of the fierce negativity with which he relates to you. I see no point in that type of attack since it is apparent it accomplishes nothing.
And I agree that Obama must have a pretty good intellect and comprehension of the promises he made and failed to keep and I cannot accept he had no other alternatives. Perhaps I misread him totally but he ends up on the wrong side of all that seems positive for a man in his position that I see no way other than to feel that what he has done is what he wanted done and I find that, as powerless as many claim him to be, he is not all that totally absent of other possibilities. His consistency in back tracking on all he was elected for is appalling.
Thanks again for letting me off the hook.
By the way...just a few minutes ago I saw a posting by WendyO...showing pix of you. You look great.
When she first wrote, I thought she was saying that the meet was in New York City...which was the reason for my remark about the New York visit. But the pix obviously are of somewhere in Europe (Helsinki, I'm guessing)...and now I am even more sorry I missed the meet. I'd love to see that beautiful city!
Hey Steve...thanks for being tolerant of this digression. I hope that the majority of the talk has been pertinent to the fine discussion you started.
A weak dollar will make it more difficult for consumers to buy foreign goods, and for manufacturers to buy raw goods abroad. A rapid devaluation would probably mean a selling off of treasuries by foreign speculators. The good news is that printing more money is simpler to accomplish than getting tariffs instituted, allowing for all of the ways that foreign companies and governments can retaliate and deciding who has a tariff and who doesn't. Any company using foreign labor and services should have tariffs on the importation of its products.
The whole issue of corporate taxes is muddied by the fact that companies have their real headquarters here but are registered in Switzerland or some other country with a low corporate tax rate. Any company that is registered abroad should also be penalized in the importation process.
Thinking about the Wack AMole game of economics makes my head want to explode, but there are accomplished economists on the left/liberal/progressive side who must know how this can be accomplished, taking into account all of the holes the mole can pop back up in.
I seem to detect a simmering anger at the Wall Street class, however. This brings to mind a statistic that I thought was missing from the piece. What percentage of American workers are employed at companies that are not publicly traded? I believe it's a high number, although I cannot verify that belief.
I'd be curious if somebody knows. It seems that before we amend the tax code to punish the Wall Streeters, we should have a clear vision of what percentage of the workforce they actually effect - aside from their 401Ks, of course.
It's not a matter of punishing Wall Street, it's a matter of preventing Wall Street from punishing the rest of the country.
saluti
…an observation that may impact on your thesis here, if I may:
You wrote: Back to the middle class. If we depend on the government to take care of us, we will disappear.
Perceptions, Ande, are very important.
You see, in my opinion (I’m willing to defend this if you deem it necessary)…
…WE are the government.
Yeah, WE the people are not only the governed…WE are the governors—the government.
So allow me to write your short paragraph using that perspective:
Back to the middle class. If we depend on us to take care of us, we will disappear.
Does that make sense to you?
It certainly doesn’t to me.
The reason WE have a government—which is to say, the reason WE ELECT PEOPLE TO LEAD THE WAY TO WHAT WE WANT—is “to take care of us” in a fashion. WE recognize that living in large communities requires certain considerations and modifications that can only be effected by what WE refer to as “government.”
It is not the enemy, as some suggest. It is merely US working in concert toward the greater good of society. WE have to take care of ourselves. WE, acting as individuals….AND WE as the government acting collectively.
Have to stop now. Pine trees in my yard are doing the Samba. And as I said in another post...man and mortar are not match for MOTHER. I usually write essays and poetry. This is exhausting.
I didn’t say they were “serving us”, Jan. I merely called attention to the fact that “the government” is merely us…picked, by whatever fashion, from US. If we choose to pick our government by choosing from the people able to amass millions upon millions of dollars…then that is what we do.
We could do otherwise. If we are not doing otherwise, it is because WE are not doing it.
Jan, we get our politicians…our leaders…from among our general population. Our general population is more concerned with self than with the greater good. Our general population is subject to the oft mentioned, “Power tends to corrupt.” We can all sit out here dreaming dreams of great and noble intentions…but given the power, would the most altruistic among us actually serve the greater good before the good of self? And even if some would answer that in the affirmative (which probably would not truly be the case)…would the most altruistic among us actually serve the greater good if it might harm personal good even a bit?
In my opinion, Jan, the government is not the problem. WE are the problem.
By the way, if you are wondering, I extend that to myself also. I AM my own worst enemy. Nobody can do as much damage to me as I can myself. I suspect that is the way it is with everyone…and I suspect that is the way it is collectively.
Because it is quite obvious the country is not being managed well.
Oh Frank, We the people is wonderful. It is the most beautiful thought and the foundation of our Union. If only it were true and we the people did govern. However, I might not agree with your governing and I might like yours. That is why we elect representatives We the people vote for the candidate that promises to do their very best to represent our agenda. However, and we all know what happens once they get to DC ... Compromise, compromise compromise.
We all do have different ideas of what we want done!
The finest, most effective legislator may do things that one person thinks is exactly what must be done…while others may think it is exactly the wrong thing. We all want OUR way to prevail.
WE ARE THE PROBLEM!
Ande laments “compromise, compromise, compromise.”
Well…that is exactly what I want my elected representatives to do…to compromise, compromise, compromise. I want them to listen to the other side and acknowledge that side also. Otherwise nothing gets done. That is how things get done in a democracy and a republic. (Democracy and Republics may not be the best form of government…and may well not even be a good form of government.)
We have got to get out of the habit of thinking we can have PERFECT governance…because the only way we will ever have that is to have a dictatorship. That way…anything the dictator wants…IS, by definition, THE PERFECT THING.
Rome, when it was at its most powerful did exactly that. The elected an individual who would be dictator. No bullshit; arguments…or anything else.
I’ve answered your direct question several times recently: I do not think WE are up to the job of running an efficient government. I am seriously beginning to question whether the experiment in democracy and freedom and republicanism…actually can work. MAYBE it just cannot! MAYBE it just leads to anarchy. That seems to be what is happening.
…you do realize that about half the country would condemn you as a lunatic…a person out to destroy our nation, do you not?
That is the situation in which we find ourselves now. (Maybe, as it has been called to my attention often, not half---but a significant percentage. Enough to set up roadblocks to enactment of anything not significantly “compromised.”
We are a polarized nation unwilling to see past our own wants.
WE ARE THE PROBLEM…we as “the leaders”…we as “the government”…and WE AS THE PEOPLE.
We are the problem!
Rated.
Ronald Reagan inherited an economy worse than Obama's and he used the opposite approach to provide over 20 years of unequaled prosperity. He thought as I do that government does not create jobs, just unproductive positions that feed on themselves. Rich people create jobs by investing and spending. Oil companies are not two or three rich people at the top; they are millions and millions of stockholders and represented in every retirement fund in America. In effect, taking down the oil companies is taking down the pension fund of teachers, policemen, firemen and yes you and me.
Loved the article and hope to read more from you.
Jim Walker Whitefish, Montana
"Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard."
H. L. Mencken
This has touched a nerve the way I have only touched nerves when writing about guns and Islam. What's that about? Now the plight of the middle class seem to be maybe moving to front and center, where it must be if we are to be honest about how bad its prospects are.
There are a a number of pessimists in the room. I don't consider myself to be one. When times are bad the future always resembles the present, but that doesn't mean that the times aren't bad. They are, deeply so, if you don't have a job.
Things could change for the better gang, they really...oh never mind. I don't want to be beaten to a pulp in my own comments section.
I was only trying to highlight one d0-able thing here and I think everyone more less gets that, even Mishima, who has read a good number of my posts on the economy and made helpful comments in the past, as he does here while nominally disagreeing with me.
If we want to talk about the big question, we do need to ask what slow economic suicide looks like and yes, I think it looks like an economy that doesn't value jobs.
And hey, I am all for using the tax code to "coercive purposes" if a corporate oligarchy can be proven to be leaving American jobs as roadkill on the way to the quarterly EBITA presentation. Personally, I like the image of Roosevelt giving hell to a corporate establishment that had lost touch with the nation that built it and fed it. I have previously argued that that is confrontation that we need to have. I argued it about health care reform in just one instance of, say, 20 blog posts.
The central problem? I think it is the capture of the governmental machine by corporate money in a thousand different ways. Governmental capture. Because of it, the system works best for our "corporate citizens" while our actual citizens are left to their own devices.
There are a couple of lines by Leonard Cohen, a trenchant critic of our little utopia south of Canada that come to mind:
"Everybody knows that the dice are loaded
Everybody rolls with their fingers crossed
Everybody knows that the war is over
Everybody knows the good guys lost
Everybody knows the fight was fixed
The poor stay poor, the rich get rich
That's how it goes
Everybody knows ."
But that doesn't stop me from trying. You still gotta give 'em hell.
I wrote a long essay entitled "Why Are We All Working So Hard?"
The central point was that, by automating with computers, robots, and other machines, we have essentially incorporated billions upon billions of slaves into our work force. Yet humans are expected to work just as hard in order "to earn a living."
The first question is "WHY?"
The second question is, "What would make anyone think it makes sense to pay humans decent wages to do the kind of thing that can be done less expensively and more efficiently by machines?"
We created the machines to lessen the burden on humans. Now that we have succeeded beyond our wildest dreams...we are turning this heaven into a hell!
No need to tie yourself in knots figuring out how to grow jobs. One obvious solution for spurring job growth is to scrap the minimum wage. The minimum wage is responsible for keeping many Americans on the sidelines largely because their labor has been priced out of the market. Of course a company seeking a greater profit margin is going to go offshore and pay far less for labor when the government at home mandates that unskilled laborers must be paid a minimum wage. Get rid of the minimum wage and companies will stop sending jobs offshore. I cite American Samoa as an example of the damage the minimum wage can do. Google it.
But before you go off on a "living wage" tangent, one should keep in mind that getting rid of the minimum wage depends on adhering to free market principles across the board, thus reducing the overall cost of living, allowing those who make far less than the current minimum wage much greater purchasing power than they currently enjoy.
And really, in terms of job numbers - perception plays a role. There are jobs out there to be had, but there is a general unwillingness among the 'entitled class' to do certain jobs that many feel are beneath them - thus the flood of illegals who come into the U.S. who continue to be successful at finding work due to their willingness to do things many Americans simply refuse to do.
As far as new taxes go, Steve; your idea brings with it the additional costs associated with oversight and enforcement. Instead of adding another layer of red tape onto an already overloaded tax code, the better solution would be to simplify matters by removing the legislative and regulatory barriers that have caused businesses to retreat for greener pastures.
CanLib, (if I may) if you read me often you will know I have a soft spot for Canada. And here you are, a Libertarian, the incarnation of all my pet peeves, and so elegant and restrained in discourse.
Wrong, of course, but elegant. But you and I, a firm adherent of the need for firmly regulated capitalism, will never convince each other of anything.
The course of action you recommend would set off a race to the bottom in the way only unregulated markets can do.
I believe, when things are stuck, in a bit of trial and error. I might support a test of a minimum wage rollback for workers under the age of 18 to allow teens to win back a little market share from workers over 65. Everyone deserves a shot at an entry level job. But beyond that, "thus reducing the overall cost of living" as you say would really be "thus reducing the overall standard of living."
As for your views on entitlement, tell that to your children. "Children, either you will excel in school or you will have to work as field hands." It's just not practical as a scare tactic anymore.
Remember, most undocumented workers do not have perfect fake ID's and employment histories. The decision to hire them in decent paying jobs that Americans would be happy to do--jobs like home building for example--is a business decision made by unregulated businesses that are all part of the race to the bottom.
As to the jobs Americans won't do--migratory farm workers for example--well, unregulated capitalism treats those workers in a disgraceful manner...oh, wait, that IS an area of our economy where the minimum wage is largely a moot point.
;-)
Thank you for replying. I think it's fine to make 80 cents an hour if your purchasing power increases to a greater degree than what's currently on offer; but I'm sure we can both agree that wages wouldn't likely fall quite that far, especially if free market principles took over allowing the unmitigated growth of competition and with it the need to retain valued labor.
And to be clear, I have no issue with collective bargaining so long as it does not extend beyond the private sector.
I appreciate your reply given that you've written the article and have a multitude of people writing to you. And, CanLib - I like it. :)
Perhaps you're right, we may not convince one another of much - but I'm sure you, like me, enjoy the discussion all the same. Listening to what others are saying is trans-formative, even when I disagree I'm still enriched.
Jumping right in:
My take on a race to the bottom is that that action benefits those of us who find ourselves AT the bottom in today's collusive climate. In my mind, a lesser burden on business translates into lower prices for the consumer who likewise has a much easier time of finding gainful employment. To me, all of that would be indicative of a rise in the standard of living. As I'd alluded to in a previous reply, the wage I earn is less important than what I can buy with it - and in my opinion the price of everything only moves down when competition is allowed an unfettered rise.
Sure, so too would wages fall - but anyone capable of being a valued employee wouldn't make less than the going rate for such coveted labor, and any business unable or unwilling to pay a wage that allowed a valued employee a decent standard of living would find themselves without access to same, and rightly lose market share as their quality of service subsequently deteriorated.
Working as a field hand is not easy, and perhaps downright untenable to many - but I'm sure there are those who find it rewarding. The thing is productive jobs like those in agriculture or heavy industry must be filled, and while it's fine to expect "someone else" to fill that void, the buck has to stop somewhere. I don't advocate scare tactics when it comes to our children, but likewise I don't think it's sustainable to have entire generations rack up debt earning liberal arts degrees only to graduate with a degree that assures them a lifetime spent as a "sandwich artist". It would have been far more practical to send that unfortunate soul to a trade school - teach them how to handle a wrench, drive a forklift, or operate a combine. Scaring isn't what I had in mind, but leveling with our children a bit might be a better approach.
Illegals hired to build homes are brought on because it's easier than dealing with the bureaucratic red tape required in hiring someone who must be paid 'x' by letter of the law, not to mention the added paper work that comes with employing a "legal". It's hard to blame a business owner for wanting to keep costs low, my position is that we remove the red tape and allow everyone to compete for those 'good jobs'.
Migratory workers are mistreated because it's being allowed to happen in the current system of government/corporate collusion; people turn a blind eye. Removing government from the picture would remove policies/subsidies that favor these businesses that hire and abuse their employees.
Opening the agricultural sector to competition would allow laborers choice - the freedom to find work for a business that treats its employees with respect. Its a choice that in today's mixed economy doesn't exist.
In a free market workers can come together to bargain collectively as part of a union; there's no reason to assume workers would remain staunch individualists in the face of oppressive working conditions. And any worker who feels mistreated can always move on to a different employer or another field altogether.
You're explaining the current situation as opposed to what I'm describing which is how we fix the current situation.
If employers are not hiring it's because they're making money as if they were expanding and growing their business all while not having to incur the expenses that come with doing so. This money comes from poor fiscal policy and central economic planning.
Right now companies are getting money from the government, replicating revenue yet not resulting in business expansion that includes more job creation. Rich company owners were rich before stimulus was introduced, yet now they get hand outs so they can continue feeling the wealth effect of increased revenues and share that with their families. Great for them, meanwhile Main Street doesn't get to share in the wealth since business owners are deciding to sit on their wallets instead of reinvesting their ill-gotten gains in their businesses by way of hiring more staff.
This entire charade goes away once you get government out of the economy. Once that happens the only way businesses CAN expand is if they put more people to work increasing the wealth potential for the many instead of just the few.
Employers may love it right now because big business and the bureaucrats are all part of the same elite club that works to extract profits at the little guy's expense. There are a lot of people making obscene amounts of money right now while the rest of us suffer. Get government out of the economy and force companies to exist on their own merits free of subsidy or favoritism and the problems go away. It takes a tremendous leap of faith, but in my view it's one worth making.
Jan,
There are many businesses that are still paying salaries, they're just doing it with a debased currency and so the purchasing power of their employees diminishes. The people who are unemployed received money from the government, also denominated in a debased currency, and funded by the people who still have jobs.
The debasement of the dollar through Federal Reserve stimuli has caused prices on necessities (like food and energy) to rise, making it harder for those in the lower and middle class to get out of debt, onerous taxation only exacerbates the problem.
Government manipulation in the market place has caused this mess. With the cost of living driven higher, even business owners have decided to pocket their share of stimulus money and keep it for themselves instead of parlaying that money into hiring or affecting wage increases. The cost of goods and materials purchased by businesses rises as purchasing power is lost as well - another drag, another side effect of government's involvement in the economy.
Government is not the solution, it is the problem. Government exists at a debt to the people, and adding more government to a government created problem is fundamentally wrong.
The more government you create, the more debt you pile on. The more government you cut the more money is freed up for the private sector to use as capital investment in business. The more capital you invest in business the more they can expand. The more businesses expand the more jobs are created. The more jobs are created the more wealth is spread among the people, and so on, and so on, and so on...
Isn’t strange that business leaders who understand this issue much better than you do have a different opinion?
GMs Healthcare Double Standard: Bad ideology trumps good business
"Yet just across the Detroit River in Ontario, the company's subsidiary-like the subsidiaries of Ford, DaimlerChrysler and other U.S. firms----strongly endorses Canada's national health system.
"The Canadian plan has been a significant advantage for investing in Canada," says GM Canada spokesman David Patterson, noting that in the United States, GM spends $1,400 per car on health benefits. Indeed, with the provinces sharing 75 percent of the cost of Canadian healthcare, it's no surprise that GM, Ford and Chrysler have all been shifting car production across the border at such a rate that the name "Motor City" should belong to Windsor, not Detroit.
Just two years ago, GM Canada's CEO Michael Grimaldi sent a letter co-signed by Canadian Autoworkers Union president Buzz Hargrave to a Crown Commission considering reforms of Canada's 35-year-old national health program that said, "The public healthcare system significantly reduces total labour costs for automobile manufacturing firms, compared to their cost of equivalent private insurance services purchased by U.S.-based automakers.""
Weird isn’t? The involvement of the government in your own turf actually lowers the cost of producing motor vehicles that you and other libertarians use on a daily basis. There goes your argument.
Nice try though.
BTW, I heard that Somalia is heaven on earth for libertarians. As you know (I’m not sure about that), they haven’t had a central government since 1991 and everyone is free to carry on their business as they wish without the interferences of the big bad government. As a bonus, they don’t have any minimum wages! You should check it out and see above about moving there. Perhaps you could open a Tim Horton and pay your staff a few cents per hour. Your move there would benefit the Canadian society, since the rest of the people would no longer need to pay for your medical visits.
That's weird too: UncleChri is suddenly silent. Maybe he's still busy working on the task I asked him to work on a few months ago. Maybe libertarians are slow workers.
Canadian,
So far it's all slogans, suppositions and wildly inaccurate economics. Addressing reality is more difficult than bending it to fit libertarianism, but reality has much more gravitas than clucking slogans. Being Canadian, perhaps you don't understand the American idea of liberty, which is not libertarian. Americans don't want libertarianism and, in the free market of political/economic systems, no other country does either. Libertarianism fails its own free market test. After 150 years, basically, it's languishing in the remainder bin. Perhaps this is because The World has not reached your state of enlightenment. Most likely, though, it's just a bad idea.
The idea of the free market is we the people can decide for ourselves what we want to spend our money on, not a bureaucrat in an office miles away. Let the people circulate money through the economy; let the market dictate the best allocation.
Government isn't bad across the board, I don't advocate anarchy just that we keep government out of the economy. The greatest benefit of having a government work for us is when it is charged with protecting our liberty as sovereign individuals. Right now, Americans have a mixed economy that has stopped the market from working as it should in favor of the corrupt system that now dominates. The way you fix this is to get government out of the economy completely, it is not fixed by allowing the government to become even more involved.
The way to improve productive capacity is not through taxation or inflation, but by allowing people to use their hard-earned savings to invest in their own businesses or someone else's be that by consuming, direct investment or other means. Expecting the government to spur growth allows debt to accrue, and the more governments try to fight against accumulating debt the more they will desperately grab for more revenue through taxes or inflation - and the vicious cycle continues.
I cannot imagine anyone being so completely ignorant of the historical relationships of government to business. Government and business have been and are hand in glove deeply involved in mutual relationships ever since civilization began and when things have turned out right both have benefited tremendously and when things have turned out badly both have suffered a great deal. There is no need for me to go into detail because the evidence in all aspects of life from production to research to military preparedness to foreign policy to monetary policy to land distribution to development of experimental areas to medicine and health etc., etc. You cannot be so completely blank on these relationships. Your statement is absolutely astounding.
I think there are a lot of business leaders out there who don't understand the current problems, the powers-that-be at General Motors being prime examples, as history has shown.
The report you quote is simply wrong to suggest that health insurance purchased by car companies in the United States is being bought from a private company. That seems to be a popular argument, but nothing could be further from the truth.
The U.S. government spends more on health care per capita than its Canadian counterpart, and spends to the tune of over $300 billion per year on subsidies and tax exemptions for supposedly "private" health insurance providers which has the effect of removing market forces and allowing companies to charge higher premiums realizing they won't be punished by the market for doing so.
Your argument would work if a truly private health insurance system existed in the U.S. and that was who companies like G.M., Ford or Chrysler were purchasing their health insurance from - which, in such a case, would allow you to properly compare that with operating in a largely public health care system in this country, but that isn't the case.
Instead, you're comparing an expensive U.S. health care system with an expensive Canadian health care system - both of which are rife with government involvement. Regardless which nation businesses find it cheaper to operate in, neither of them offer the promise of better, more efficiently made goods for less money than would a country courageous enough to put its faith in an unfettered market place.
To your last point, Somalia is an anarchist state, not a libertarian one. I don't believe government is simply "bad" across the board - it has it's uses, I just don't believe regulating the economy is one of them. I believe government should exist, largely to protect individual liberty.
Jobs have been outsourced because government made the cost of doing business too high in the minds of owners. It's fine to say that prices on discretionary purchases have come down, but what about everyday necessities like food and energy?
Jobs are lost through outsourcing, and the cost of putting food on the table and fuel for your car or the cost of heating your home have risen due to a loss in purchasing power.
People have grown to rely far too much on credit, on that it seems we agree; but you're placing blame where it doesn't belong.
Government is responsible for the artificially low interest rates and other guarantees that mitigated risk allowing widespread malinvestment and the inflating of a housing and credit bubble. When those bubbles burst they took a lot peoples' hard-earned savings with them, and thus private capital investment in business dried up as did the ability to pay for everyday purchases - that is, without resorting to adding on more debt to the balance sheet while trying to continue affording an ever-rising cost of living.
The free market is not responsible for this mess, it is because there has not been a free market that this mess exists at all. Had there been a free market, the bursting of massive bubbles that brought on a recession/depression would have allowed for a much more precipitous crash, and pain in the short term; but that pain would have been much more short-lived, the imbalances would have been addressed, the bad debts liquidated, and the recovery would have been well on its way in much less time.
Contrast that scenario with what's actually happened. A lack of free market principles has allowed the pain to persist, and the imbalances remain as the powers that be are more concerned with kicking the can down the road and getting re-elected than doing the right thing and allowing the bad debts to be liquidated and the market to rely on pure supply and demand.
You mention that libertarianism is "just a bad idea", but to make that call you should have a better grasp on what it is with regard to a free market approach to the economy. Blaming a free market that hasn't been existence for a problem created by government meddling demonstrates a lack of understanding. I invite you to read about Austrian economics and see what you think.
You speak of this government-corporate relationship as if it has brought your society to a fantastic outcome. Have a look around and it's obvious how wrong it is to make such an assertion.
Liberty from what? Murderers and rapists, I assume, and packs of wild dogs. How about overcharging on monopolistic phone bills? Or scamming n mortgages and other loans. How about impossibly high prices for vitally necessary medicines? How about destroying the environment for immediate profit that destroys the ecology? How about enforcing contracts and equal pay for minorities and women? Should government intrude on adopting children and religious freedom that offends the majority? All sorts of stuff that government plays around with. Such a vague term, individual liberty.
You should have a grasp on economics before you talk economics. The idea that government made the cost of business too high and that's what caused outsourcing is absurd. Absurd, but an opinion made to fit a libertarian theory.
Your entire comment on why illegal immigrants get hired, etc, is economic gobbledegook. Again, gobbledegooked to fit a libertarian theory. I am convinced you've never hired anyone.
You spin-off slogans as proven facts, but offer no proof. You assume credit bubbles are a product of government, but ignore that they have existed for centuries within the private sector and, in America, coincide with government stepping aside to allow the "free market" to run rampant. You also might wish to ignore that they didn't exist between New Deal banking reforms and the beginning of deconstructing those reforms by deregulation.
After those banking regulations were eliminated, it took about 7 years to crash the economy. Why did it crash? Gee, it can't be because government stepped aside, that would be too obvious and it spits in the face of libertarian ideology. Let's invent a reason that aligns with ideology.
Your comment on business owners making money because the government is giving it to them, etc...is more flim-flammery and obtuse supposition.
Prices on food and energy rose because of commodity speculation in a free market, not debased currency. If production investment isn't possible due to our experiment with deregulation wiping out consumer wealth, wealth can be extracted by manipulating commodities.
It might not be fair to single out just one quote to display your absolute misunderstanding of economics, but this one is interesting:
"The more government you create, the more debt you pile on. The more government you cut the more money is freed up for the private sector to use as capital investment in business. The more capital you invest in business the more they can expand. The more businesses expand the more jobs are created. The more jobs are created the more wealth is spread among the people, and so on, and so on, and so on."
Total garbage. There was a time, before deregulation, when that would make more sense. However, it's just supply-side trash talk. Now that deregulation has allowed consumers to be stripped of purchasing power, no amount of "getting rid of government" will cause capital investment in production.
You have slogans delivered with the certainty of a true believer ideologue, but the facts dispute your regurgitated theories. Libertarianism is just an excuse for the elimination of self-government and replacing that with wealth rule. This is why most people reject it, and why a few oily oligarchs fund it.
Try supporting your plug-n'-play theories with real world examples based on more than mere pronouncements. I don't think you can do that because reality won't cooperate, but you should try because realism, not libertarianism, is the only ism that matters.
Health insurance premiums are largely driven by the cost of health care. Here in the U.S. around 30 percent of health care costs are related to administrative overhead. And much of this overhead comes from the activity of billing supplies and services. Having worked for over 20 years as a data analyst in a hospital, I saw how this overhead functions.
Let's say that we decided to run restaurants the way we run hospitals. In our alternate restaurant world you would be seated at your table, and a "table usage" charge would be generated based on how long you were at the table. There would also be silverware and napkin charges. Every time you picked up the salt and pepper shakers there would be charges for that. Instead of being charged for a breakfast, there would be individual charges for eggs, toast, butter, coffee, cream sugar, and so on.
In our alternate restaurant world the restaurant would have to employ a large staff just to keep track of all the billing. And your breakfast would be $20 instead of $10.
Believe it or not, this is pretty much how hospitals and clinics operate. In the hospital where I worked there were over 100 people employed in the Patient Accounts department, and hundreds of others were involved in the billing process in some way. Other people maintained information on the hundreds of insurance companies. Yet others maintained information on the many different contracts between the hospital and insurance companies. Other people maintained information in the "charge description master" -- the file that recorded prices on all of the 80,000 different items for which the hospital could bill.
And that's only one side. On the other side are the many thousands of people who are employed by medical insurance companies around the country, their buildings, their expensive accounting systems, their advertising budgets, and so on.
All of this overhead activity is non-value-added. It doesn't dispense a single pill, give a single injection, or take a single blood pressure.
This is what we have instead of a public health system. There are versions of single payor that would eliminate a vast amount of this overhead, and make health care much less expensive, but this is not the system we have chosen to have. Instead we have private enterprise run amok, and a system that's so expensive that tens of millions of citizens have to go without health insurance.
CanLib, I just can't figure out what non-parallel universe you inhabit, because none of the observations you make are borne out in my experience on this planet. I mean, the things you describe don't actually happen at all. When you say the sky isn't blue, that our health care system is not private, honestly, what are we to do with that?
Protecting liberty means protection from physical or fraudulent harm to you or your property from any outside threat whether that be by another individual or an entire nation.
All of the problems you name go away if you put your faith in the free market. In a free market people have the power, not corporations, and not bureaucrats.
Monopolistic phone bills occur when one company has a monopoly. Monopolies can only form in a market place skewed by regulation or legislation purposely imposed to favor one business or a group of businesses. This is typically what happens when the revolving door of CEOs and government bureaucrats come together to make each other wealthy at the expense of the little guy.
The way you end that is to adopt a free market approach where any company is open to competition from any startup that would no longer have the legal and financial burdens preventing their entry into the market. With those barriers knocked down, any new company can enter the market place and in the interest of winning over customers, charge less for a good or service while providing better quality.
The company that previously had the monopoly would then be forced with a choice of either lowering their prices further than the competition and improving their product or service or risk losing market share to the competition.
By scamming mortgages I'm assuming you mean the sub-prime fiasco?
Again, a lack of free market economics created that mess. The Federal Reserve at the behest of the Treasury lowered the interest rate below what the market would bear, punishing savers, and encouraging first time home buyers to leverage up on more debt than they'd otherwise be able to afford.
Likewise, financials and lenders took advantage of a system where government guarantees and legislation meant to protect people wound up creating a culture of mitigated risk, so there was a perceived safety net should risky or financially unsound decisions be made such as loaning money to people who had no hope of ever paying it back.
Lenders knew the government would have their back so they did the wrong thing and led many people down the path to financial ruin. It's downright criminal what's happened on Wall Street, and yet free market economics gets blamed by many people when really it's the lack thereof that created the problem.
In a free market lenders working without a safety net would not be willing to take on all of that bad debt - the risk for default would be too high. In a free market interest rates would not be "set" by anything other than market forces, and people would have a much easier time understanding what they could or could not afford, and a much easier time building their savings. Not to mention the costs for just about everything would come down drastically so the idea of taking on a 30, 35, or 40-year mortgage would be laughable.
High prices for medicine, another by-product of government involvement in the pharmaceutical industry. It's an over-regulated industry. Regulation is expensive, and those "savings" are passed on to the consumer. Big Pharma enjoys favoritism in Washington thanks to the full time lobbyists they pay to ensure as much.
It is extremely hard for a small startup to enter the pharmaceutical industry and people pay higher prices because the oligopoly is allowed to fester under the auspices of government control. Patent laws add to the problem as it's equally difficult for anyone outside the "old boys club" to develop competing drugs that many offer more benefits to consumers.
The way out of that mess is to get government out of the picture and force those huge companies to compete instead of enjoying the rewards of cronyism. These big companies pay government to ensure they don't have to face competition, and the people pay through the nose for their products as a result.
The environment is being ruined because government oversight is inefficient. The best way to fight polluting businesses is to have a government whose primary focus is on protecting liberty. Protecting liberty means protecting individuals and their property from physical or fraudulent harm.
That means if you have a chemical plant polluting the river that runs through your backyard, or pollutes the air around your home you would have true and proper recourse through the courts, not having to fear that you'd bankrupted trying to take on a behemoth corporation - a government charged with protecting liberty would have a responsibility to ensure the people would have just as much say through the courts as would any business, and the punishments doled out would be made to stick.
In a free market any company that harmed the public would risk bankruptcy, not the slaps on the wrist they currently enjoy in today's cronyist system.
It should absolutely be the government's responsibility along with the individual to enforce contracts. However, it is none of the government's business to tell a business owner what they can and cannot pay anyone whether that be minorities, women, or whomever. Once you allow government to try and legislate morality you walk a very slippery slope.
Likewise government should have no say in what religion you practice - the only stipulation being that you cannot infringe on another person's right to do as they please whether that be in the name of religion or for any other reason. People can decide for themselves what religions they find offensive, which they will avoid, and which they will choose to believe. Who cares about "offending the majority"? Be offended all you like - but don't ask the government to infringe on their right to believe as they wish.
The internet is a great invention, but are you suggesting the internet would not exist were it not for government? Indeed government did play a role in its development, but as a society we were already well on our way toward global computer networks with or without government's help. Companies like Corning for example, developed fibre-optic cable, and a lot of startup capital from private wealth went into research and development. And besides, the internet in its current iteration is not the kind government tried to push on us - today's internet is largely TCP/IP as opposed to the OSI (Open Systems Interconnect) which was an attempt to create one standard for all networks worldwide. But again, the assertion that without government we wouldn't have an internet stretches credulity.
With regard to satellite communication, or understanding nature, physics, the cosmos, etc; don't make the mistake of believing that just because government funding has allowed for all of these things, that that's the only way these discoveries would have been made. By the same token I think it's more than fair to assume that the private sector can and likely would have done all that and more had the government not been in the way of allowing the market to function as it should. I would much rather have a private company work toward a manned mission to Mars or build a large hadron collider than the government because at least that way the profit incentive and the need to be competitive would make those ideas become reality a lot faster than a bureaucracy who has no financial stake in doing things as cheaply and efficiently as possible.
The transportation grid is congested and thanks to too many regulations is not built cheaply or efficiently. Privatize roads and you reduce congestion and wind up with roads that adhere more to what the market place demands. Railways have been on the decline, which is unfortunate. Get government out of the economy and let the market dictate the most efficient means for the transporting of goods or people. Ditto for the airlines. Also, a free market would greatly decrease the costs associated with transport, such as the cost of raw materials for infrastructure expansion, fuel costs, etc.
Hopefully that clears up what you'd found vague about my mention of protecting individual liberty.
I understand Austrian economics, i.e. real economics as opposed to the backward Keynesian methods that dominate today.
It is not absurd to suggest that outsourcing occurs because the cost of doing business in the U.S. has been made too high by government regulation. The minimum wage is just one example that has driven the cost of labor too high, and chased jobs away to places where that provision does not exist.
You ask me to offer proof, when the proof is self-evident - look around you, the economy is in shambles and logic tells you why should you care to look. Just listen to what business owners are saying are their reasons for cutting staff, or moving their operations offshore; there's nothing abstract about it - it's simple. Businesses move away when it's too expensive to operate in America. And that expense comes as a result of too much bureaucratic oversight that gets paid for through taxation that removes wealth from the private sector; wealth that would be better applied to businesses through capital investment funded by savings that in a free market would not stagnate as they do currently in an environment of artificially low interest rates, and devalued fiat currencies.
Yes, absolutely credit bubbles have existed for centuries - and they would result in recessions. Recessions are a good thing, they are necessary - it is the market signalling an imbalance that must be addressed. It causes bad debt to be liquidated - it's the equivalent of a forest fire where old growth forest has prevented new saplings from rising off the forest floor. The recession is the cleaning out of bad decisions, bankruptcies, mistakes, and bad debt. In a free market they would occur as frequently as human behavior would necessitate, but they would occur as sharp, swift downturns - not prolonged depressions - and once the old growth burned away the market would recover anew.
That is how the economy is supposed to function but instead we live in a culture where it is political suicide to tell anyone that they may have to personally sacrifice anything to get through what would be a temporary downturn before we can build back. Instead, we're led by gutless politicians bent on being the good guy and endlessly kicking the can down the road so as not to be the one who goes down in history telling everyone that the days of entitlement are over - that it's up to you to take care of yourself. Today most people want something for nothing, everyone has their hand out without realizing there are too many people all wishing to have a free lunch, believing it is the government's job to save them. We have a society built on the Not In My Backyard mentality, and it's kept everyone, including those in government frozen with fear to do the "wrong thing", when in fact their idea of what the wrong thing is is exactly what we should be doing to get out of this mess.
Yes, the market will crash if you get government out of the way. The market is trying to operate as it should, but instead it's like watching a car accident in slow motion - the government is twisting itself in knots trying to keep the crash from occurring and it's only prolonging the agony.
The crash is a necessary result of decades of poor economics, bad monetary and fiscal policy that has finally come to a head. Yes, it will be really bad if we get government out of the way, but the pain will be over much faster than the malaise we currently endure if we allow market forces to clear away the derivatives, toxic assets, bad investments, etc. It means a great deal of pain for many, many people, but it will over quickly and the recovery that ensues will be much more profound and widespread than the phony recoveries the government mouthpieces like to talk about where rich Wall Street bankers get a dose of stimulus money that does not trickle down to Main Street, and has the effect of reducing the purchasing power of all.
Libertarianism and/or free market economics is not about avoiding crashes or recessions, it's about understanding that when those things occur it's a healthy part of an economy at work.
Prices for food and energy go up when the currency being used to buy those goods becomes less valuable. If a currency is debased through inflation, it takes more of that currency to buy the same amount of goods.
Commodity speculation means investing in tangible assets like food, energy, or precious metals. The prices for commodities will rise or fall as they become more scarce or plentiful due in some part to day traders, but the fundamental moves upward that create a trend are the result of those looking for a hedge against inflation; a means of protecting their wealth in the long term should governments continue their efforts to inflate their currency. The CRB didn't just drastically rise because of some arbitrary reason that arrived from thin air, it's rising trend has been a direct result of inflation which is the antithesis of free market economics, and sound monetary policy.
You keep mentioning deregulation as if this is something that has occurred when that simply is not the case. It's been the exact opposite.
Consider the following:
"Like the alligators lurking in New York City sewers, Bush's massive regulatory rollback is mostly urban legend. Far from throwing out the rulebook, the administration has expanded it: Since Bush became president, the Federal Register -- the government's annual compendium of proposed and finalized regulations -- has run to more than 74,000 pages every year but one. During the Clinton years, by contrast, the Federal Register reached that length just once.
Similarly, the administration has broken every previous record for regulatory agency spending. According to researchers at Washington University and George Mason University, appropriations for federal regulatory functions have soared during the Bush years. Adjusting for inflation, the regulatory budget has grown from $25 billion in fiscal year 2000 to an estimated $43 billion in FY 2009 -- a 70 percent increase. "In constant dollars," writes James Freeman in the Wall Street Journal, "the Bush regulatory budget increases vastly exceed those of predecessors Clinton, Bush, Reagan, Carter, Nixon, and, yes, Lyndon Johnson." Staffing has skyrocketed, too. Regulatory agencies employed 175,000 people in 2000. They employ nearly 264,000 today."
And this:
"The core problem of the regulatory proposal is its view of the causes of the crisis. Everything is built on a belief that the market failed and that deregulation created a system of excessive risk and irresponsibility. Ironically, it was government action that created incentives for financial firms to be less risk adverse, not a lack of regulation."
"Given all the talk of deregulation, you would expect to find dozens of deregulating laws put in place over the past few years. Surprisingly, there have only been three major deregulatory actions in the past 30 years. Ultimately, the data points to bad regulation as complicit in the creation of the financial crisis, not deregulation."
"The modern era's first major Wall Street deregulation was the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980. This law repealed so-called "Regulation Q ceilings" that limited the amount of interest consumers could earn from savings and checking accounts. The law also expanded the types of financial institutions that could get overnight loans from Fed discount windows.
Since letting banks pay interest to their customers encourages saving, this aspect of deregulation certainly can't be blamed. And though it could be argued that more financial institutions borrowing money partially allowed for the housing bubble, that money was being borrowed from the government—hardly deregulation. And that doesn't even begin to address the fact that there have been multiple recessions and bubbles since this law was passed."
"The second major deregulation was the Garn-St. Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982. This authorized banks to compete with money market mutual funds. (Ironically, this bill was co-sponsored by then-Rep. Charles Schumer, a key lawmaker driving the current regulatory overhaul.) Garn-St. Germain has been linked to today's crisis because it loosened restrictions on issuing mortgages, allowing for the eventual development of subprime loans.
However, it wasn't Garn-St. Germain specifically that created a subprime mortgage riddled bubble—it was the surrounding body of poorly designed, bad regulations that created perverse incentives. Garn-St. Germain should have allowed banks more freedom to compete while also clarifying the role of the FDIC. But it failed, along with other regulations, to outline the role of the government in the case of financial institution failure. As a result, the implicit government guarantee for firms "too big to fail" skewed the risk assessment process that aids market efficiency. The promise of rescue was much more damaging than loosened lending standards.
It is worth noting that the impact of Garn-St. Germain has also been blamed for causing the Savings and Loan Crisis by allowing certain financial institutions, thrifts, to gamble with taxpayer insured investments. But in this case there was an implicit government rescue guarantee for massive failure that encouraged high-risk taking.
The third deregulation blamed for causing the financial crisis is the repeal of the famed Glass-Steagall Act in 1999. This law, passed in 1933, had kept deposit-bearing banks and investment banks from competing for over six decades. After this repeal, banks were able to maximize their resources and many grew large enough to be classified too big to fail. However, they really were too entwined to fail, and the problems came with fringe regulations related to the interconnectedness of financial institutions.
Had mark-to-market regulations been more flexible banks would have had more time to raise capital and sell assets. Had Wall Street firms not seen Washington as a lender of last resort that would bail out investments gone awry, they would have managed their risk better. Had capital reserve ratios been higher banks and investment institutions would have had more liquidity when prices dropped (though some firms, like AIG, simply became insolvent and wouldn't have been saved by higher reserves). Or, if qualified special purpose entities—an off-balance sheet accounting method—had required more transparency, banks would have had to keep more risky mortgages on their books, subject to reserve requirements."
"Similarly, Europe currently boasts some of the world's tightest financial sector regulations, and its banks have suffered just as much, if not more than American banks in this recession. European banks made the same bad bets, the same poor investments, and the same over-leveraged mistakes—despite more regulation and government oversight."
You say I believe libertarian ideals because I'm disconnected from reality, but the current reality is what's caused me to see that libertarian ideology makes sense. Expecting the government to take care of us is asking for trouble.
You've described a monster that has been allowed to grow because of a lack of market forces that would force providers to cut out all that waste.
The only reason all of that overhead exists is because there's a lack of competition in the market that would force companies to trim down and operate more efficiently.
None of that overhead would exist if it were effecting the bottom lines of those in charge. If that onerous overhead were hitting the people in charge in their pocketbooks, rest assured that clutter would be cleared away.
But no, government's involvement in the health care system, and in the economy in general has removed market forces from the equation, and the risk of default or bankruptcy or punishment for bad behaviors, or non-competitive behavior has gone with it.
All of that bureaucracy does not exist for bureaucracies sake. Someone or some ones are profiting big time from that mess, and passing the expense and inconvenience along to the patient who suffers in triplicate.
The answer to the problem you've so eloquently laid out is not MORE government involvement in the sector, but much less. Make these providers open to competition by removing the barriers to entry into the market place. Do that and you'll see a lot of the waste go away because the profit incentive will cause the powers that be to do whatever they can to maximize their take while minimizing their losses.
Using your restaurant analogy - why do you suppose restaurants don't operate as you suggest? Likely because they face a lot more competition in sheer numbers than do the major health care providers.
If there were only a handful of mega-restaurants out there you'd see a huge increase in overhead - but since there's a restaurant around every corner we don't have to pay a table usage charge or a silverware charge. Fact is, we already do pay for those things - it's baked into the price of our meal, but it's dirt cheap because any restaurant worth their salt knows if they don't provide value to the consumer, that consumer will take their business elsewhere. Most Americans don't have that luxury when seeking medical treatment, and the providers know it - that's why they can get away with creating the mess you've described.
You're right, in terms of free market economics, we're nowhere near employing any of that - so you're right to say you haven't experienced it; we live in mixed economies whose key feature is a blending of government and corporate power structures. It's the reason why the cost of living is as high as it is.
With regard to health care, consider the following:
"By 2020, the United States will devote roughly 20 percent of its total annual economic to health care, up from 17.6 percent in 2009. Why is health care spending chewing up ever-bigger portions of the economy?
One reason, as economist Arnold Kling has noted, is the dramatic increase in expensive medical technology and services. We’re not just using more medicine. And it’s not merely that the price of the same basic procedures and services has increased. It’s that health innovation has given us access to a wide array of fancy new drugs and devices and time-intensive medical specialties."
And:
"But expensive advances in care technology aren't the only culprit. The more fundamental problem is the system of tax-funded subsidies in form of both tax breaks and entitlements—and in particular, the essentially unlimited health-spending commitment offered by Medicare. As Cato’s Jagadeesh Gokhale writes in Politico, those subsidies have insulated patients from the price of care—and, by masking its true cost, funneled a growing share of our nation’s economy into health spending:
'The introduction of comprehensive health subsidies — Medicare for the elderly, Medicaid for low-income households and tax exclusions for employer health insurance provisions for the rest — has expanded the intensity of health care services use and has sucked resources from the private payer health sector.This has also stratified health care providers — with the more qualified, skilled and successful providers remaining in the lucrative private-payer sector.
So it is not surprising that, as public subsidies ballooned, the use-intensity and resource-siphoning effects led to bigger cost increases in the private-payer sector. It is a classic cart-before-the-horse argument to use the faster spending increase in the private-payer health sector as justification for expanding the government-payer sector — all the way to adopting the public option.
The payment structure of our public health care subsidies introduces a vicious cycle: Given supply-limiting health care regulations, those subsidies initially increase health care demand and prices and also spur innovations in costly medical technologies. Our open-ended health subsidy system then responds to higher prices of health care goods and services by diverting more resources from the rest of the economy toward the health sector.
The truth is that the only way to control health costs is to stop collaring funds from the rest of the economy and channeling them to this sector — as we have for the past 45 years.'
The raft of public subsidies, in other words, distort the market by pushing economic decision makers —individuals and employers and providers—to spend far more than they likely would have."
That sums up why I believe the sky isn't blue - or in this case why I believe a free market approach is better.
Now, here's the thing: there are one of two ways in which things will get better here in the United States - the hard way, or the easy way. But rest assured things will change. Don't believe me? Look at the history of France, Russia, Cuba, Vietnam, Cambodia, etc., etc. The further the plutocracy pushes things, the worse the correction will be, whether it comes from the left or the right. We as a people have to decide, but we'd better decide quickly. There are 40+ million people using food stamps to feed themselves and their families. My understanding is that the program is dangerously close to insolvency, and that problem will only grow worse. When people can longer feed themselves and/or their children, the end will be nigh.
Every revolution that has occurred did so because the ruling regime made a fundamental miscalculation about what the people would or could tolerate. With King Louis XVI it was his assumption that the French paesentry wouldn't mind going without bread, that the bourgoisie wouldn't mind paying for a government in which they had no say, and that neither group would feel sufficiently patriotic to be outraged when he asked his cousins to invade their country and restore him to the throne. Here in America the plutocracy is assuming that a jobless economy will be hunky-dory. But as Steve has pointed out, without jobs there is no hope; in fact, I think it's safe to say that a job is how we do hope here in America. Give a jobless person a job, and all of a sudden they start scheming about this or that thing they're going to do with the money. That's hope in action, and it drives our whole economy, our whole society. Take that away, and there is only one option - violent rebellion.