POSTCARDS FROM ECOTOPIA

the view from my window

old new lefty

old new lefty
Location
alienation, discontent
Birthday
September 16
Title
CEO
Company
Making trouble whenever possible
Bio
virgin novelist, middle school teacher for the morally handicapped, government bureaucrat, most famous unknown photographer in LA, PhD dropout, coat hanger sorter, presidential campaign worker, sewer worker, and retired guy -- but not in that order.

Old new lefty's Links

MY LINKS
JULY 17, 2012 8:41AM

NORTH KOREA: What the hell is going on there?

Rate: 11 Flag

kim 

Nobody can say that Kim Jong Un isn't making waves.  The most recent news has him sacking his mentor, Gen. Ri Yong Ho, who has supposedly resigned for "health" reasons.  In his place Kim has appointed General Hyon Yong Choi, a relative unknown. Widely seen as a way for Kim to cement his position of power, it can also be seen as a warning shot by him and his closest advisors to potential rivals in the military who might be interested in a palace revolt.

On top of all of this are the atmospherics.  Perhaps you've seen the pictures of the Mickey Mouse costumes performing on North Korean TV in front of an all girl orchestra (scantily clad by North Korean standards because they're wearing sleeveless dresses).  Even more startling is Kim Jong Un's woman of mystery.  This very attractive woman is now in the background at many public events that the little dictator is attending.  Little is known about her except for the very attractive black dress and high heels that she wears.  You can believe me when I tell you that this is not the usual North Korean fashion statement.

Other changes appear to be happening as well.  When Kim appeared at a textile firm, he gave directions that they should be producing clothing that is up to date with current worldwide fashionrather than the notoriously drab Mao jackets and caps.  One can only assume that the North Korean textile mills will now be gearing up to flood the market with imitation Nike products.  But the very fact that Kim is speaking in public is monumental as his father never deigned to do so.

It's even been reported in the national press that South Korean vandals have been defacing giant stone monuments worshiping Kim's father and grandfather.  A more likely explanation is that some of the population has been exposed to the comparatively good life in China, and they realize that North Korea does not live up to its claim of having the highest standard of living in the world.  Is there some perestroika brewing or whatever they might be calling it in Korean? Is there some kind of potential Korean Spring?

Unfortunately, US North Korean specialists appear to be in agreement that the answer to these questions is, "No." Many people make the mistake in assuming that North Korea is a communist country.  Despite the lip service to Marxist principles, North Korea is in fact a hereditary monarchy.  I talked to a South Koren once who referred to Kim Jong Il as a king, and North Korea has now been governed by three generations of Lil' Kims one after the other.

Of all of the countries in the world, North Korea is the clear winner of the nightmare that George Orwell painted in his classic 1984. In fact, the change in generals gives all of us a clue as to the real nature of North Korean family.  Both generals have the middle name of Yong.  This is a family name.  And the complete structure of the North Korean ruling class is hardly anything more than an ingrown clique.  Perhaps the closest society in the Middle East to North Korea is Syria.

But Syria has a standard of living far surpassing anything the average North Korean could even dream of. The cast of hundreds of generals surrounding the official pictures of whatever (fill in the blank)  Leader are the intertwined power structure supporting the dictator, and the dictator will remain there as he is the only person to hold the entire society together. And since he's in his late twenties, one can only assume that he's more interested in sex than his father was when he died.  Alas,for the time being it appears as if it's only about atmospherics.

It's just about impossible to make a revolution when you're starving to death, and this factor more than anything will guarantee that there will be no peoples' revolt in Pyongyang in the near future.

Your tags:

TIP:

Enter the amount, and click "Tip" to submit!
Recipient's email address:
Personal message (optional):

Your email address:

Comments

Type your comment below:
And what did American capitalists do with China and (South) Vietnam? Took the slave labour, and said "thank you very much". Can't have all those toys for the 1% get too expensive.
One would hope the contrast with South Korea would be the grain of sand in the oyster for those people.
Predicting revolts, particularly successful ones, is notoriously hard. Does starving mean you have no energy for a revolution, or nothing left to lose?

To recognize a change in the mood of the corrupt elite supporting the dictator and profiting from association, you have to be very close to them. Usually the dynasty founder (the first Kim, Duvalier, etc) got there because of his strength. Their heirs remain because they preserve a system that is profitable for their supporters. When the supporting elite decides they will be better off without their leader, he will go. What does that take? Who can predict it?

The only thing that is sure is that we don't know enough about the mood in the country and no N. Korean is going to share it with us.

I wouldn't bet much money on no Korean revolution in the near future. I wouldn't bet much money on a revolution, either.

PS, I don't know about Yong, but 15% of the world's Koreans have a variant of the last name Lee for a total of over 6.5 million Korean Lees (it's also a common Chinese last name). Are two generals Yong from the same clan, or are they just like two generals Smith in the American army?
Yoon and its variants are the 8th most common S. Korean last name, with nearly a million S. Koreans. There seem to be other common last names that are not too far off, with half a million Yangs. Yun and Yong are on the most common list, too.

One presumes that last name distribution might be slightly different in N. Korea and that transliteration might differ, too, depending on accents.
Leftie - those Generals need bigger hats!

:-) / r
An orphaned puppet regime of the dissolution of the former USSR, China is DPRK's big brother. The Kim family has been the hereditary leadership supported by the Democratic Front for the Reunification of the Fatherland in the tradition of Korean vassal kings since 1950. The stated purpose of the DPRK's government is the "self reliant" reunification of Korea. Their primary economic enterprises have been reconstruction, agriculture, education and weapons manufacture in support of the Korean People's Army.

There will be no Korean revolutionary spring in the DPRK, rather we will more likely see incremental steps toward economic development and reunification with South Korea followed my decades of social reintegration, not dissimilar to a slow motion version of the reunification of East and West Germany.
Atmospherics aside, hat is and has been going on there is starvation. r.
I think this is one of the first visible moves by Kim Jong Un to consolidate his power within North Korea. He has most likely been making other moves behind the scenes that we are unaware of. Ri Yong Ho was part of the visible regime, in front of the cameras, so his "retirement" couldn't be hidden. I think there will be other, more dramatic moves by Kim Jong Un and the military in the future to determine who really rules the hermit kingdom.

North Korean Missile Test
Kim better watch out or the generals will turn on him. One can only hope K gets reckless with his youthful interests and causes some cracks in that insane monolith.
I'm not good enough at reading tea leaves.

It isn't starvation that makes people revolt. For one thing, they need to think they have a shot. For another, they have to be angry enough and, believe it or not, starvation isn't necessarily what accomplishes that.
A great pity George W obstructed the Sunshine Policy, which seemed on track for unifying North and South Korea. Apparently his advisers felt a unified Korea would make China even more of a (economic and military threat) than they are now (i.e. those bastards want to gobble up all the world's oil and rare earth minerals).
Though the fashion conscious dictator dreams
Updating his entourage-- it will be a long long
Time till TMZ visits north of the DMZ.
There must be opium being pumped in the air
For the People of North Korea to be oppressed and
Starved the way they are. This is a such well written
Article and Intersting perspective. Mr Orwell is
Smirking.
Must be nice to fart and have Generals applaud. Imagine what happens when he goes #2. A Parade~