HL Lee

HL Lee
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Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Birthday
January 01
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With a wife and two daughters, I sometimes have more thoughts in my head than sense. Always I hope that the arc of history moves forward, so this blog is my attempt to jot down things as they are, or as I see them, so we can remember the here and now. Or, as T.S. Eliot wrote: We shall not cease from exploration/ And the end of all our exploring/ Will be to arrive where we started/ And know the place for the first time.

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Salon.com
Editor’s Pick
JANUARY 16, 2012 10:23AM

The End of the World, 2012 Edition

Rate: 6 Flag

            I'm not sure where all this concern originated about the End of the WorldTM on December 21, 2012, except that supposedly the Mayan calendar predicted it on that date. In fact, this is just one more example of popular myth arising from a misunderstanding of events with only tenuous mystical connections.

            Archeologists say that the Mayans never considered their calendar to have anything to do with the End of the WorldTM. From this link to the National Geographic:

http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/11/091106-2012-end-of-world-myths.html

.  .  .  December 21, 2012, (give or take a day) was nonetheless momentous to the Maya.

"It's the time when the largest grand cycle in the Mayan calendar—1,872,000 days or 5,125.37 years—overturns and a new cycle begins," said Anthony Aveni, a Maya expert and archaeoastronomer at Colgate University in Hamilton, New York.

The Maya kept time on a scale few other cultures have considered.

During the empire's heyday, the Maya invented the Long Count—a lengthy circular calendar that "transplanted the roots of Maya culture all the way back to creation itself," Aveni said.

 

During the 2012 winter solstice, time runs out on the current era of the Long Count calendar, which began at what the Maya saw as the dawn of the last creation period: August 11, 3114 B.C. The Maya wrote that date, which preceded their civilization by thousands of years, as Day Zero, or 13.0.0.0.0.

In December 2012 the lengthy era ends and the complicated, cyclical calendar will roll over again to Day Zero, beginning another enormous cycle.

In other words, the Mayan calendar resets like the odometer on a car going from 99999.9  to 00000.0. We notice the turnover of the odometer, and some even celebrate it as a momentous event in the life of a car. Probably the same would be true for the Mayans and their calendar. But the End of the WorldTM ? It seems the Mayans didn't think so.

            When December 21, 2012 passes without apocalypse, it will be just one more End of the WorldTM I have survived:

·         Early 1970's--California falling into the ocean. Around this time word was going around that California would fall into the Pacific. It was partly a joke, but I also remember a lot of people took it seriously. I lived in California then and to me it was a game. A former cub scout, I made a survival kit which consisted of: matches, rope, aluminum foil, needle and thread, mirror, radio, compass, magnifying glass (to start a fire by focusing the sun's rays on tinder), paper and pencil, pocket knife, rubber bands, whistle and space blanket—none of it would help if I were floundering in the ocean, but I packed it all in a waterproof container, anyway.

·         March 10, 1982--The planetary grand alignment—i.e. the Jupiter effect.  An alignment of planets in the solar system would create world catastrophy, including a huge earthquake in California. The folks seeking to punish sinners must really dislike California.

·         December 31, 1988—Judgement Day and the Rapture. The 1970 best seeling book, The Late, Great Planet Earth, by Hal Lindsey, predicted that the world would end within a generation of the founding of Israel, more specifically by the end of 1988. He saw the increase of famine and wars as precursors to the Biblical end times.

·         Mid-September 1994Judgement Day and the Rapture. Harold Camping, leader of Family Radio Worldwide, predicted the Rapture and the End of the WorldTM some time around mid-Sept. 1994 then revised the date to March 31, 1995 when nothing happened.

·         December 31, 1999—Y2K.  This was the apocalypse for the digital age. Since everything is controlled by computer, pundits and experts alike feared that elevators would crash, nuclear power plants would explode and planes would fall out of the sky. But computers do fail. I actually worked in aerospace companies during the 1980s and heard one story about a programming error on a jet fighter. When this jet crossed the equator, going north to south, supposedly it flipped over and flew upside down. I made sure I wasn't on any airplanes or elevators on the last day of 1999, otherwise I wasn't worried.

·         May 21, 2011—Judgement Day and Rapture. Harold Camping—there you go again—predicted Judgement Day would take place on May 21, 2011 based on his reading of the Bible, with the End of the WorldTM on October 21, 2011.

 

            Although none of these apocalyptic events came to pass, I did experience a somewhat smaller disaster some time ago, on February 9, 1971, when the San Fernando earthquake struck at six in the morning. It was magnitude 6.6, which is large and consequential. At the time I was a kid living in Burbank, very close to the epicenter. I had just woken up and was still lying in bed when the whole world started shaking. The rumbling of our apartment came from everywhere and all I could do was hold on to my mattress. I wasn't scared. I didn't panic. I didn't think. My mind was a blank and all I knew was the shaking.

            After what seemed like forever, the earthquake stopped and my family gathered in the living room. We had a five gallon fish tank and half the water had sloshed out. In the kitchen dishes had flown from the cupboards and smashed on the floor. Fortunately for us that was the only damage. Around Southern California some highway overpasses fell and some buildings collapsed. Since the earthquake hit so early in the morning, only 65 people died, but the number of fatalities could have been much higher had the earthquake struck during rush hour.

            Although I didn't react during the earthquake itself, afterward I was primed. The tiniest tremor sent me racing for the door; I was amazed at how quickly my heart raced, how quickly my legs moved almost without my thinking about it. I remember standing outside with a friend later that day and feeling another aftershock. The sidewalk—solid concrete—rippled, and I saw a wave roll down the block. When the ground itself shakes, you realize you have nowhere to go.

            Why do so many insist that the world will end in a bang rather than a whimper? I guess that people looking forward to an apocalypse expect to be spared by virtue of their virtue. How much more satisfying is it, then, if the rest of the world— heathens, infidels or unbelievers—get what they deserve by perishing in some disaster?

            On the other hand, how unsatisfying to think that the End of the WorldTM might actually be gradual, almost unnoticable and in some future we can't touch. Could global warming be the real apocalypse? Within a few generations countless plant and animal species may become extinct. Temperatures will rise; monster hurricanes, rampant tornadoes and lengthy heat waves will become commonplace. The ice caps will melt; the slow lapping of water, rising by only inches a century and inexorably flooding coastal areas, hardly seems worth worrying about compared to California crashing into the ocean.    

            Robert Frost had something to say about End of the WorldTM  in his poem, Fire and Ice:

Some say the world will end in fire,

Some say in ice.

From what I've tasted of desire,

I hold with those who favor fire.

But if it had to perish twice,

I think I know enough of hate

To say that for destruction ice

Is also great

And would suffice.

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I like all the writing techniques you used in this article: a little research and reference link, personal experience and culminating with a Robert Frost poem. Makes me think that trying to predict the end of the world and how it will happen is like trying to predict our deaths. However, I do believe we should do our best to prevent such things, ie: global warming.
Lovely like silk. I actually post an OS fiction on this very subject matter that got 1900 hits in one day so the fervor is strong End of days/Northern Lights I realized this piece because of the many surrealistic dreams I have had and the actual sighting of red northern lights in NH in Oct. 2003. I actually have a picture posted.
You forgot to mention the asteroid "Icarus" I think it was supposed to hit us around the same time as the 71 quake. I remember going out to the beach, and enjoying a beautiful while I waited-----
at least I had a great afternoon at the beach! rated
2012 won't be the end of the world. You'll just wish it would have been.
I was in California on business during some of the aftershocks from that earthquake. I remember looking out the window and seeing trees going up and down like a carousel ride and watching waves of land coming at me. That rippling earth is a sight I will never forget! Nicely written!
I enjoyed reading this. One of the things you mention was the "grand planetary alignment" of 1982. This and other claims of unusual alignments (I've heard some say one's due for 2012 as well) prompted me to download a mac program I really enjoy called SolarWalk. With it you can go to any date in history and see what the planets were up to. I have yet to see any planetary alignment that seems all that unusual on any date, including the March 1982 one, perhaps because we tend to expect some kind of perfect alignment as depicted in the movie 2001. This kind of thing just doesn't happen. I've also used this same program to see if there is anything I can spot that maybe somehow the Mayans were aware of, but have yet to see anything unusual. Granted, this neat program mainly concerns our solar system, but it does show where the milky way is and it does seem to be very accurate. In addition, you can position your point-of-view to approximate what someone in the Southern hemisphere might see vs. the Northern one. I guess if all this talk of end times gets us learning more about our solar system then it's not a bad thing, and I do recommend this program (or similar one) to people who are interested in getting a sense of scale of our solar system. Another brief example: I had heard that Uranus is orbiting in an unusual way, but until you actually see this visually it's hard to appreciate. Seeing it's odd orbit using a program like SolarWalk makes you wonder if something entered our solar system and tilted it. Is this part of what the Mayans foresaw? I don't know but it's definitely interesting stuff to contemplate, even if it means the world will go on as before. Thanks for you article.
Everyone Likes a Horror Story

My uncle-in-law was some sort of mathematician at NASA before he decided to become his own monk. Wrote a book predicting the actual end of times date and had it self published. Problem. Could not get delivery until AFTER the date specified.

Pen and ink changes.
Heidi Drew,

Thanks for your comment. I am sometimes dismayed at how so many people stick their heads in the sand concerning global warming. Like you, I also think we should do what we can to save the world, not end it. Maybe with enough voices, someone will hear.
Kenny1948,

I'll have to look up Icarus. There's a lot of asteroids out there, and we already know several have hit Earth in the past.
ejdavid301,

I got a laugh from your story about your uncle-in-law predicting the end of the world. Irony is not dead.
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Terrific piece! Good voice, solid and sensible. By the way, it's not just California that gets mentioned repeatedly in disaster scenarios. Have you ever noticed how, whenever there's something awful that could happen to an urban area, particularly something like an asteroid strike or a nuclear bomb, the accompanying graphic to the story, be it broadcast or internet, ALWAYS shows New York City and the surrounding burbs?
Every day at noon and at midnight, as my analog watch hands slowly align on the twelve, I worry about the end of time and wonder if the world's completion is at hand.

One might think I'd stop making this mistake again and again and again. But every time there is a small nagging voice in the back of my mind that whispers so faintly that "this time will be different, this time will be different".

And it never is.
Just found this, which is pretty informative:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_dates_predicted_for_apocalyptic_events