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JULY 24, 2012 12:50PM

Your Life Depends On A Chinese Peasant!

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"Popular capitalism is nothing less than a crusade"
antiChrist Margaret Thatcher

Capitalism is like any other religion: it's just a bunch of rules without innate value that mean only as much as we think they mean. America's post WWII forays into other countries are very much the same as the Crusades of the Middle Ages, of men hellbent on forcing their religion on others. It's delusional witch burning on a large scale but it's accepted because we still cling to the idea of witches. How else ya gonna justify putting a(n economic) bullet into somebody??

So I don't much bother myself with what I consider a passing fancy. But that is not conventional wisdom and all but the tiniest minority can move past That Which Is Deemed (TWID). TWID is what we use to tell right from wrong, good from bad. A man born in America is a capitalist while a man born in China is a communist. People generally go with the TWID - even if its death is only a matter of time.

But here I will break my usual pattern and speak wholly within the terms of TWID. After all, we are stubborn and stiff-necked enough to ruin millions of lives over it no matter how false it may be. So for argument purposes we'll pretend money is real and people are not, our lethal TWID that grows stronger every day. Something to be proud of! (OK, there may be some sarcasm in here)

Before we deconstruct our global TWID think of this one scenario first: You have a going enterprise but to keep it going you need a loan. Problem is, the banks are all out of money. What happens then? Do we just print up more and more? And if that's a solution, why not just print up enough to give everyone a million dollars? Sounds like a fricking economic stimulus to me! A Maserati in every garage!

Why not just make everyone rich??

They say in 2008 the global economy failed. That is a falsehood. What happened in 2008 was the economy was exposed as a failure. It failed when we decided to jump off a cliff years before. 2008 was just the body splattering on the ground. Many also like to claim the crisis has been averted and we've been saved. That sort of staggering denial is the equivalent of claiming you're debt free because the debt collector can't find you. But he will - and it will be all the worse the later he finds you.

Time is not our friend here. Some say we're already past the point of no return.

The first trick of the high priests is to enslave you with your own illusions. Like a crack dealer giving out free samples, easy credit was the 21st Century's answer to bringing back indentured servitude - a fancy term for slavery except you have to provide your own food, shelter and medical care. Believing we're free people we gladly took on the chains of big debt, lured in by the high of nice houses, nice cars and nice TVs. We were smiling and thanking the men who were sowing our demise!

Mortgage broker crack dealers and their ilk know at some point their victims will be bled dry, but who cares? By then you've got all their money, they gave it to you of their own free will and you get to walk around like a responsible citizen. That's just scary to think we're so far off the right path we think that's OK. The power of TWID! That's why honest folks will tell you our current predicament was preventable and predictable.

In the five years before the crash,
global lending exploded from $900 billion
to more than $6 trillion.

Jesus wants you to borrow money!

Yup, put a credit card in that five-year-old's hands and you own him for life. In the 80's "greed is good" was accepted into our TWID and we've never looked back. Savings are for losers and debt is for winners! Between 1980 and 2008, American consumer debt tripled to over $14 trillion. Everyone's living the good life! Why aren't you? It's a natural human tendency to want to live well. Nothing wrong with that. But far too many people's esteem is based on living better than their neighbor.

But the bank dealers have to get their crack from somewhere, they can't just make it up (yet). This is true because in our minds we must cling to the idea of money having meaning for our lives to have meaning. Yeah, I know that sounds stupid but such is the nature of religion. So where are the dealers getting their currency? From the few nations that keep cash on hand, i.e. save money: Japan, the oil countries of the Middle East, Germany and most of all, China!

On average, the Chinese save a whopping 50% of their earnings! Worldwide savings ballooned from $36 to $72 trillion in the first few years of this century. Combine this with the massive lowering of interests rates to historically low levels and the global banking system couldn't lend it out quick enough as they were basically playing with rent free money. Thus we have a recipe for by far the greatest economic bubble in history.

"To get rich is glorious"
Communist leader Deng Xiaoping as China
turned towards a market economy

If only we could be more like cats

Ah, but if only it stopped there! You may have spotted the (monumentally fatal) fly in the ointment at this point. In the orgy of lending even with free money, there's still the risk of never getting it back. But what if you could make that risk disappear? Well, you can't actually but who can resist the financial alchemy of turning lead into gold? Sure, we laugh at those "morons" back in the Middle Ages who self-deceived themselves to the point of believing in alchemy. But one day our descendents will be shaking their heads at us!

Investment bundles of debt derived from the massive lending - aka derivatives - were sold to outside investors by the banks. Now the banks' risk is offloaded onto suckers investors who hope to share in the perceived lending profits. And you thought evil geniuses only existed in Bond novels. Best part for the banks is that derivatives are black boxes which can be assigned any value they wished since no one knows the actual value of the risky loans. Think of them as gold plated time bombs in which the sucker sees only the gold.

"Let's hope we're all wealthy and retired
by the time this house of cards falters."
Internal email at ratings agency
Standard and Poors, 2006

But of course you've got to keep upping the dose to get the same high. Derivatives weren't just sold once, but became a market unto themselves, sold over and over, infesting the system to the point of $683 trillion by 2008, ten times the value of the entire global stock markets. As long as the bubble had not burst, this caused profits to explode making derivatives seem a mainstream investment even for pension funds and other institutions of fiduciary responsibility for large numbers of people. The appetite for destruction was insatiable.



As you can see, it would not take much of a movement in a market of that size to wipe out vast amounts of money. And boy did we see a movement when the bad debts could no longer be hidden! And with leveraging of the debts upwards of 30 to 1, we didn't just lose dollar for dollar, but 30 dollars for every dollar. There's no getting out of this, folks, not in a million years. We're only getting in deeper by the day to put off the day of reckoning, the derivatives market now reaching $1.4 quadrillion, jumping off the cliff all over again.

Financially speaking, we're a dead body. But to keep that news under wraps we're transfusing blood from the living into the dead body to make it appear alive. This keeps politicians getting re-elected, bankers from feeling the true wrath and the populace docile because we don't really want to know the truth anyway. How many have to suffer and die before we admit our TWID a failure? The price of that willful ignorance is global catastrophe.

At some point, there will be no more live bodies to drain. Here in America 50% of the population owns 1% of the wealth. To keep the dead heart of the Frankenbanks beating we are being bled dry. Soon, no more Chinese money will rescue us to fund our national debt and our government will default on its loans too. The interest alone is hundreds of billions of dollars per annum. We are not a solvent country, without the continual infusion of Chinese cash we'll grind to a halt which will make our current predicament look like the good old days!



Of course, we could grow up and face the fact all these numbers are just numbers with no reason to control our lives. I don't expect anyone to do that at this point, to put their faith in Nature and trust to mutual cooperation with no strings attached. I'm just covering my ass for historical purposes so I won't get lumped in with the vast majority of morons. Go ahead and vote yourself a savior you can point a finger towards when things go wrong but really the finger should always point towards the mirror.

Information from this post mainly came from the Australian TV series Addicted To Money. I highly recommend watching all episodes to gain a fuller understanding of the architecture of our current economic structure.

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Party while you can!
You really are an idiot. Neither one of us is an expert in this financial engineering world but there is a variety of opinion...from the doom-sayers you favor to the moderates who see the housing market having bottomed out, continuing weak growth in GDP and employment, and continuing austerity in public spending, with the re-negotiations of public sector pensions, etc. shoring up confidence. It is not easy but no diaster will happen because there is some rebound in US manufacturing and the Chinese will support this looming re-structuring in US public finances. If there is another financial panic then there will be bankrupcies of some large financial entities because the public will not countenance another across the board bail out for the financial system. Then some of these magical numbers of gigantic derivatives obligations will be erased, and the political negotiations will be about how to provide a minimum cushion for millions of insurance policy holders, pensioners and future pensioners, etc. For you to so strongly believe that a 15 trillion dollar economy will completely self destruct, as a result of the coming so-called fiscal cliff and the needed re-structuring (including downsizing Defense Dept. spending) is to engage in a fantasy of childish thinking. Keep on working at the floor polishing Harry...you'll be in that job for another thirty years, then you can retire to a storage shed...wink
I understand why you think greed has a future, CA: because you share its fate. Awfully bitter comment there!!
And moron, the debt bubble of 2008 was an indicator of the tremendous excessive success and productivity of the capitalist economies. Just a century ago, all through history the wealth creation of economies was so low that no asset bubbles could occur, generally, because there was no vibrant wealth producing economic engine that would provide a foundation for the creation of extravagantly excessive amounts of money, liquidity and financial assets. The tulip bubble mania in Holland could only occur in an already rich (by the standards of the time) and growing economy where the shenanigans of some 'financial engineers' fed the spreading of greed among more of the middle class...then there was a crash and the economy recovered. For you to expect that some mega/giga crash awaits the US/world economy because of the excesses that are still present in the system is to ignore the political realities, that the Chinese want relative stability and that the various power elites in the US require stability also to continue funding a large military, etc. Is the entire military and other infrastructure in the country going to vanish because of a derivatives bubble? The present problem is one of EXCESS capacity and new political arrangements will emerge to balance the needs of a revamped financial system, small business enterprise, health care, etc. and national security. There may be a growing crypto fascist populism led by retired military leaders in America to whom the public would turn as honest brokers in a crisis, who knows? But the crisis will be resolved and capitalism will continue. Maybe the Avengers or Batman will shore up the system...nudge
You keep calling for your version of a 'moral awakening' in Amerika and the world where greed will be erased. It is greed, properly managed, that provides the energy and incentive for all the investments in productive capacity that have been made in the first place. It is what fuels all the start-ups. It provides the ambition for all the millions of economic actors to succeed. You call it greed, and it has to be regulated by political interventions as in regulatory regimes, and there is conflict of course between reformers and reactionaries, but the system survives. Greed guides the 'invisible hand' of Adam Smith, as you know, but you would expunge that fundamental human drive in order to create your vision of utopia. You should have been with Pol Pot and the Khmer Rouge in Cambodia in 1975. They tried to restructure society radically also. There is something wrong with you and you need to come down to Earth...you can do it.
You left out the part about the one world government that's gonna take all your money away! I've heard all the nutball arguments before. You think you can hide your motives but you cannot!

You can certainly proffer the idea that all the banks and traders were mere innocents and the bubble a sheer coincidence in timing, sort of like arguing Hitler just happened to be dictator during the Holocaust. Didn't know anyone that naive was still left in the world!

Dear child, greed cannot be "managed' any more than murder or any other sin. It's a destroyer, not a builder. Enjoy learning that the hard way!
"One world government that's going to take all your money away." You're so difficult to follow I can't tell if you're accusing me of that paranoid nutbar fantasy, or if you yourself subscribe to it. You are so sure of yourself, that you undertand reality better than most other people, that you do seem delusional. You insist that greed must be destroyed. You do belong with a revolutionary movement, which, thank the Goddesses, is impossible in Amerika because of the deep bedrock of old fashioned common sense among the people whom you would re-program with a New Spiritual Politics. Yes, North Korea and the Khmer Rouge are your kind of folks.
I rest mine too. Sorry about the name-calling. You're an impossible little man, but people should read your essay and this exchange, for a little itty bitty edification. Been to the F1 race yet my little Pol Pot? Maybe the race car drivers are motivated by luv of hoomanity too.
I'm with you, Harry. People seem to have lost their minds. They are ignoring history, where people stop caring whether they keep their billions or not. People, right now, would be glad to see them lose everything, especially since they are using none of it to give people jobs, infrastructure, educations and social safety nets.
When you think about it, it's obvious this would happen, zuma. These people saw a chance to game the system and get free money - which is the dream of most people. That's why no one stops them and why it will happen over and over until we decide corruption is not the path we want.

For a country that proclaims to hail hard work, we sure do treat hard workers like shit!
[r] glad i caught this. well said. best, libby
It's all just a sick game, Libby.